Milestones to the Kingdom

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Milestones to the Kingdom

19 May: Don Pearce’s Snippets

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UK-EU-AS:160511:(16-MAY-16):Why Europe-wide anti-Semitism is driving my vote for Brexit

Daily Telegraph 11-May-16

 

Angela Epstein

In recent months I’ve had cause to interview several Holocaust survivors.

And though each story – can we call them stories, it sounds so banal? – is different, the themes remain unilaterally unsettling: fear, heart-breaking, wrenching separation from a loving mother or desperate father, arbitrary brutality, unimaginable savagery.

But the harrowing testimony of these now elderly men and women also offers an enduring postscript, as each survivor exhorts those who listen to never forget man’s inhumanity to man.

For Jews like me, well, how can we forget?

Auschwitz survivors just after its liberation by the Soviet army

How can we forget this?

After all, had it not been for the bravery of our Allies holding out against the Third Reich and the geographical inconvenience of our island geography, British Jewry would have also been swept up by the systematic slaughter of the Holocaust. As would other detractors of the genocidal Nazi regime.

Fortunately, despite Hitler’s best intentions, this never came to pass.

But such fears remain deeply ingrained in the Jewish DNA. What if joined-up political lunacy ever spread across Europe again? Would Britain be so well-equipped to stand alone were we to be yoked together in an already legitimate alliance with Europe?

It’s for these reasons that nothing will convince me of the rightness of staying in the EU – even after David Cameron predicted on Monday that a Brexit will increase the risk of Europe descending into war.

PM warns that Brexit would put peace at risk Play! 01:25

Of course I’m aware that my drawing on comparisons with the Nazis will immediately trigger accusations of paranoia. In fact, before you jab the response button at the end of this piece, let me say it for you. Yes, much of  Jewish identity is suffused with a paranoid fear of annihilation. But hasn’t every Brexit/Remain argument – not least Cameron’s war call – been an expression of paranoia?

This is different. This is more than your paint-by-numbers Jewish angst. Examining Brexit through the bloody history of pan-European fascism renders leaving Europe – at least for me, – a matter of survival.

And  if your face, race, creed or colour risks a future mismatch with photo-fit political state-sponsored idealism, then  it should be something for you to consider too.

To remain in Europe is to transfer sovereignty from Westminster for Brussels. Our borders will remain porous; our laws subjugated by those who would aim to, as Chris Grayling put it “Europeanise” our justice system. The UK has already surrendered significant power and veto to the EU, especially in the Treaties of Lisbon, Amsterdam and Nice.

Should the the far Right, hard Left or disenfranchised extremist communities ever sweep across Western Europe, how much easier will it be for Britain – Jews and non-Jews – to be overrun by such a contagion should those in power align themselves with such toxic beliefs?

After all, Jeremy Corbyn may be a joke. But his party’s intractable issue with anti-Semitism remains – potentially – inoffensive to the hard Left or the voices within Labour who may have once schmoozed with extremists.

Ken Livingstone defends his ‘anti-Semitic’ remarks Play! 01:33

It’s clear that Europe has a problem with bloodthirsty, visceral anti Semitism. Look no further than the jihadist murders of Jews in Brussels, Paris, and the Danish capital of Copenhagen over the past 12 months, or the heinous attacks in Toulouse three years ago when a gunman shot dead a teacher and three children at a Jewish school in the French city.

Conversely, in its reaction to radicalised Islam, the far right has also mobilised, with the neo-fascist Jobbick party in Hungary, the neo-Nazi Golden Dawn in Greece, and the far-right National Front in France. It seems when it comes to the dangers of continent-wide fascism, the European mainland has a short memory.

Were the dots to join would it be such a nightmare prophesy to imagine how much easier some unholy alliance could sweep this way were we to remain in the EU? I’ve no idea, but I’m not taking a punt.

I’m proud to be British, proud to be Jewish and proud that the Holocaust survivors I know found refuge in this country. But I’m voting out.

As to whether successive generations will find the UK a place of refuge is something only history will be able to tell us.

 

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IS-MJO:160514:(16-MAY-16):A quiet alliance: Jordanian and Israeli cooperation on the rise

Jerusalem Post 14-May-16

 

Despite the fact that much of the Jordanian population sees Israel as the enemy, cooperation and people-to-people relations are quietly and slowly growing.

The second batch of 500 Jordanian day workers was recently approved to work in hotels in Eilat, and the government hopes to eventually reach 1,500 Jordanian workers in the Red Sea city.

Deputy Regional Cooperation Minister Ayoub Kara (Likud) has been pushing for expanded relations with Israel’s neighbor including a “Jordan Gateway” project, which would include a new bridge between Israel and Jordan as part of a shared industrial zone in the northern Jordan Valley.

Following his visit to Jordan, where he was on hand to promote the project, Kara revealed that the process to construct the bridge has begun, with tenders being issued for building.

“The final preparations to start the work are being made,” he told The Jerusalem Post.

The ultimate goal, Kara explained, is to open the border between the two countries.

As such, talks are under way to open a new border crossing with Jordan near the Dead Sea to ease tourist travel and bring in more Jordanian workers to replace illegal African migrants.

Dr. Abdullah Sawalha, director of the Amman-based Center for Israel Studies, is keen on facilitating cooperation projects of this nature.

For example, Sawalha, who frequently visits Israel, is spearheading a partnership between the Amman Center and the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern Studies at Tel Aviv University. The agreement, signed last summer, sent the first delegation of Jordanian students to Israel on May 1.

Some of the students study in the Hebrew department at Yarmouk University, which is located in the northern Jordan city of Irbid, noted Sawalha.

The students will travel throughout the country and learn a narrative they have perhaps never heard.

“Part of our mission and commitment is to educate our people about Israel,” said Sawalha, who mentioned that a group of Israeli students is planning to visit Jordan in September and meet with Jordanian students.

In addition, there is a plan to translate from Hebrew into Arabic a book by former Israeli ambassador to Jordan Prof.

Shimon Shamir, who is at the Moshe Dayan Center. The entire project to translate the book will take place in Jordan and will be the first time a center in Jordan translates an Israeli book, said the think tank director.

The center’s director, Uzi Rabi, is a firm believer that academic cooperation is a conduit to promoting relations between the two countries.

Noting the strong opposition to such cooperation in Jordan, Rabi is optimistic in the long run that relations will continue to improve.

Sawalha also pointed out that there has been dialogue between his think tank and the Jerusalem Institute for Israeli Studies about how to defuse tensions on the Temple Mount.

“The aim is to redefine the status quo, because Israel, Jordan and the Palestinians each have their own perspective about what that is,” he explained.

The Center for Israel Studies, which is seeking US government funding, began only a year ago and is off to a fast start with a flurry of activity.

Due to the sensitive nature of his projects, Sawalha has found himself serving as a shadow diplomat of sorts, doing things that would land the country’s official diplomats in hot water with Jordanians who oppose normalization. Sawalha dismisses any official connection with the government, but says there is a great need to “create public opinion that supports this kind of cooperation.”

“Both countries have a mutual interest and common threats so we have to develop these relations,” he added.

“If you are talking about the environment, energy or agriculture, these problems don’t recognize borders. We need to find a new approach and we have a peace treaty, but as you see, people in Jordan still think Israel is our enemy,” explained Sawalha.

The common belief in the Arab world is that Israel exists in this region even though it is regarded as an enemy, but “there is a growing opinion that there is a need to cooperate with Israel because of mutual interests.”

“We have to change the public opinion in Jordan,” he said, adding that he is now trying to conduct public opinion polls in Jordan to know exactly who is against Israel and who is for it and under what conditions Jordanians would agree to work and cooperate with Israel.

“We don’t have statistics,” he realized in discussions with his colleagues in Jordan and Israel, adding that “it is not healthy to only hear angry rhetoric from parliament members or newspapers that Jordanians are against Israel.”

As a result, a polling company is being sought to conduct the survey as well as funding.

The institute publishes in Arabic on its Facebook page in order to educate Jordanians about Israel and he is quick to point out that the center receives no government support.

Sawalha has been interviewed by the Jordanian media and has had a few articles published in newspapers, but it is not easy to get articles promoting relations with Israel published.

“It is only a matter of time. I am sure we will succeed with a step-by-step strategy to find a way to change Jordanian public opinion.”

Many Israeli journalists and colleagues press him to be more active in Jordanian media, talking about boosting cooperation, but “this is not the time,” cautioned Sawalha.

“I don’t feel a threat; Jordan is very safe.

I am working for this initiative to succeed, and for that reason I have to move slowly, or else all of our enemies in Jordan will attack me at the same time.”

 

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IS-EGR:160513:(16-MAY-16):A new Mediterranean friendship amid regional instability

Jerusalem Post 13-May-16

 

The once frosty relationship between Israel and Greece has blossomed into a new partnership dedicated to boosting security ties, as the region is plagued by new threats.

Israel and Greece have in recent years upgraded bilateral diplomatic and defense relations to a significant degree, creating a new Mediterranean alliance that developed quickly following Turkey’s plunge into Islamism.

Now, with reports surfacing periodically of a thaw in Israeli-Turkish relations, the partnership with Greece, carefully built up over the past six years, faces a new test.

The new friendship with Greece has flourished under various, often ideologically opposed, governments that have risen and fallen in Athens, which was once traditionally unfriendly to Israel. The partnership appears to be immune to political changes in Athens or Jerusalem, driven by national interests and shared concerns over regional developments.

In April 2015, the Israel Air Force held a large-scale training exercise in Greece for its combat and transport helicopters, enabling aircrews to gain valuable flight experience in mountainous terrain. Such training helps the IAF prepare for a range of missions, including potential long-range operations.

It came weeks after the IAF sent fighter jet squadrons to fly with the Hellenic Air Force.

Israeli pilots encountered new terrain, and practiced, with Greek pilots, hiding their aircraft in the mountains – training that would be difficult to pull off in Israel, a mostly flat country.

IDF commanders hailed the cooperation with Greece, while Greek Larisa Air Base Commander, Col. Dormitis Stephzanki said at the time that cooperation “contributes to the safeguarding of security of both countries.”

He hailed the “common language we created,” adding, “I believe that training at the base and under the terrain conditions that exist here strengthened the Israeli air force and its ability to fly in any place they will be required to fight.”

A few months later, Greek helicopters and fighter jets arrived in southern Israel for training.

In February this year, Greece’s Defense Minister Panos Kammenos came to Israel to speak at a conference held at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies in Ramat Gan, and his remarks provided indications of some of the forces that drove his country to upgrade relations with Israel.

Kammenos blasted Turkey’s regional conduct, which he described as being driven by “Ottoman revisionist and hegemonic ambitions,” accusing Ankara of acting in ways that are “far from being friendly, far from being in accordance with international law, and far from being stabilizing” in the region.

Ankara’s conduct toward Greece is “creating friction in the Aegean in Southeastern Europe,” he said.

He accused Turkey of “deliberately” moving hundreds of thousands of Syrian refugees to “European soil.”

“It is still maintaining illegally occupying forces in Cyprus, and hinders the progress of negotiations on the island. It tries to block exploration of natural resources in the Mediterranean,” Kammenos said.

“You in Israel know very well how Turkey behaved in December 2012 and January 2013 when the Republic of Cyprus announced the discovery of hydrocarbons [nearby in the Mediterranean Sea]. You also know about its behavior toward your country, its support for anti-Israeli organizations, and its fomenting of anti-Semitic feeling, its indiscretion in sensitive areas, and maximal demands in order to normalize relations with Israel,” he added.

“TURKEY’S OTTOMAN ambitions extend from Bosnia and Herzegovina to the southern Mediterranean shore,” the Greek defense minister said.

Greece is very concerned by the prospect of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East, he added.

Turning his attention to the Iranian nuclear deal, Kammenos said a failure to fully implement the deal could have an impact on whether Turkey eventually goes nuclear.

In July 2015, Israel and Greece signed a status-of-forces accord that offers legal protection to members of both militaries while training in the other country. Kammenos visited his Israeli counterpart, Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon, at the Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv, where the accord was signed.

Israel had only ever signed a similar accord with the US.

Ya’alon said then: “We wish the Greek people and Greece itself success in its effort to overcome the economic challenge [it faces]. We pray for that since we believe Greece is a very important country, with a history and a contribution to the history of humanity.”

Ya’alon paid tribute to joint training between the IDF and Greek military within Greece, adding that the countries have shared interests, and both are dealing with the impact of the Iran nuclear deal.

Few people are as familiar with the process that drew Jerusalem and Athens close as Israel’s ambassador to Greece from 2010 to 2014, Arye Mekel.

Mekel also served as deputy ambassador to the UN, and held a series of senior diplomatic roles,. He told The Jerusalem Post by phone in April about how the new relationship began.

“I was there just at the right time,” Mekel said. “I’d like to think that my actions contributed to this.”

Prior to 2010, relations had “not been good for many years,” Mekel said, citing Greek socialist governments that were “very friendly towards [Palestinian Authority chairman Yasser] Arafat” and the Palestinians in general, viewing Israel as an extension of the US.

Greece was unfriendly to Israel in the EU, forming a diplomatic adversary along with Portugal, Ireland and Spain.

“The change started in 2010, in a surprising way. It came from the socialist [former prime minister George] Papandreou, who is the son of an anti-Israeli prime minister [Andreas Papandreou],” who sent Greek ships to Beirut in 1982 to facilitate the rescue of Arafat from the hands of the IDF.

Born in the US, the Harvard-educated Papandreou did not share a traditional hostility to the US, Mekel said. He cited a chance 2010 meeting between the Greek premier and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Moscow. “They sat down for a long dinner in Café Pushkin.

Papandreou proposed upgrading relations with Israel, and Netanyahu acquiesced,” Mekel recalled.

In June 2010, the agreement went into effect, and Mekel personally accompanied the Greek prime minister on an official state visit to Israel. In August of the same year, Netanyahu reciprocated with a visit to Greece. “He wanted to strike while the iron was hot,” Mekel said.

Until then, Greek governments saw Israel as a “proxy of the US, and the US was hated there for many years,” Mekel said. “Papandreou changed this. His personality was more American, different from many other [former leaders],” Mekel added. “But more importantly, Greece was in the midst of a severe economic crisis. Things were not looking good. He had a dream, to turn Greece into a broader, more important player globally, or at least, in the eastern Mediterranean.

He wanted to mediate in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, if the peace process was renewed.”

In December 2010, Greece immediately complied with an Israeli request to send firefighting planes to help Israel deal with the Carmel fire disaster.

Mekel, acting on Netanyahu’s orders, got Papandreou out of a meeting with the Polish prime minister in Warsaw to facilitate the assistance.

In that same year, Turkey had broken off relations with Israel, following the Mavi Marmara flotilla incident in which nine Turkish citizens were killed as they tried to break the naval blockade on Gaza. Turkey banned IAF planes from flying over its territory – a ban that is still in effect, Mekel said. “We needed an immediate ability to fly over Greece, en route to Europe and the US.

[Today], there is someone in our embassy in Greece whose job it is to coordinate these flights,” Mekel said.

Attributing the new friendship to the crisis with Turkey is both “true and untrue,” Mekel argued. “I think Papandreou used that development as an excuse to explain the change to the Greek people, telling them: Now that Israel is not friends with Turkey, we can enter,” he said. “The Greek people accepted this. They saw it as a good reason. But there were also practical reasons.

Our people whom I spoke to lost faith in the Turks. There was a need for a new partner we could share secrets with.

Greece is not a military power like Turkey.

On the other hand, this is a NATO member, with a military that is not bad, and a good navy. It is an ancient seafaring nation, with a very large airspace, almost 20 times larger than own. Suddenly, the opportunity arose. Within a short time, air forces started training together over Greece and the Negev,” Mekel said.

Israeli pilots were pleasantly surprised by the capabilities of their Greek counterparts, he said.

By 2011, Israel had a new friend in the Mediterranean. In that same year, 15 sea vessels that were supposed to head to Gaza from Greek ports found themselves blocked by Greek security forces.

“Of course, Israel did not want another flotilla. We started intensive activities with Greece, which occurred at the level of prime ministers and downwards, and involved daily work by me and the embassy. We worked with the Greek coast guard, chief of staff and navy. They prevented the flotilla from heading out.

This was very important for us militarily and politically, and it was the proof that Greece was going beyond talking, that it was willing to act,” he recalled.

Mekel later accompanied former Israel Navy chief V-.Adm. Eliezer Merom to Greece to thank the country for its assistance.

Greek special forces had boarded would-be flotilla boats and arrested sailors, carrying out actions in a manner that was highly unusual for that country.

“When I saw the special forces with helmets and submachine guns arresting the sailors, I could not believe it. In Greece, one does not see such things often.”

In 2012, a new Conservative government headed by prime minister Antonis Samaras took charge, and good relations continued. “It was not obvious he would continue the policy. In 2011, when he was in the opposition, I saw which way the wind was blowing. I sent him to Israel in December 2011, and requested a red-carpet reception. When he rose to power, not only did relations continue, he even upgraded and enhanced them. Military cooperation grew and became substantial between the two navies,” Mekel said. Israeli missile ships arrived for a 10-day training run off Greek islands.

The air forces also stepped up a gear and began joint training. “Flights over Greece are very important. Israeli pilots know every centimeter of Israel. They can fly from Dan to Eilat in an F-16 in under 20 minutes. There is a major need for young pilots to fly in unfamiliar places. Greece supplies this. Flights over Greek islands are suitable places to train new pilots,” he said.

“Things improved strategically and militarily, the point where in the summer of 2014 we appointed, for the first time, a military attaché to Athens. Until then, I was in touch with their defense minister and chief of staff. Then, Israel canceled the position of the defense attaché in Switzerland, who had until then covered the region. The IDF sent a colonel, who is still there, to Athens.”

In January 2015, a new far-left government took power under the leadership of Alexis Tsipras. “We again were very concerned, because in the past he was very critical of Israel,” Mekel recalled.

“But he surprised us very much.”

Tsipras continued to improve security coordination with Israel, visiting the country twice himself, as did his defense minister, Kammenos.

The enhanced ties also extend to Cyprus, which views Israel as a potential defender from Turkey, Mekel said. When Cyprus indicated its wish to explore natural gas in the Mediterranean with Israeli assistance, Turkey sent warships to the area. “There’s a rumor, which is not substantiated, that our warships also approached the area, hinting to the Turks to leave the Cypriots alone,” Mekel said. Turkey did in fact withdraw its ships.

Now, with Israel and Turkey negotiating a resumption of normal relations, the Greeks are concerned, Mekel said.

“Every time they hear that Israel and Turkey are about to close a deal, the Greeks, at the highest levels, start asking questions. Tsipras asked Netanyahu what this would mean for relations with Greece. The answer we give is that relations with Greece stand on two firm legs, and will not be harmed by an improvement with Turkey. Is this really true? Time will tell. They are very worried about it,” he said.

The Israeli-Greek-Cypriot relationship has created a “new geo-political bloc, that at least theoretically can deal with Turkey, not militarily, but as a bloc with strategic significance,” Mekel said.

Within the EU, Greece is leading the resistance to the directive of marking goods from the West Bank, Mekel noted.

“Greece has a double voice in the EU, because of Cyprus. This is very important,” he added.

In January of this year, the Post’s diplomatic correspondent, Herb Keinon, reported on a meeting in Nicosia, Cyprus, between the leaders of Israel, Greece and Cyprus, in which they adopted a cooperation declaration, hailed by diplomatic officials in Jerusalem as nothing less than a “strategic alliance” in the eastern Mediterranean.

“I believe this meeting has historic implications,” Netanyahu said. “The last time Greeks, Cypriots and Jews sat around a table and talked on a common framework was 2,000 years ago.”

The joint declaration with Greece and Cyprus pledges closer cooperation in seven fields: energy, tourism, research and technology, environment, water management, anti-terrorism and migration, according to the report.

“I think that from Israel’s perspective, there has always been an interest in better relations with Greece,” said Mark A. Heller, principal research associate at the Tel Aviv-based Institute for National Security Studies.

“Most of the movement came from the Greek side, which was previously hostile.

A lot of what drove the old Greek position vis-à-vis Israel turned out to be no longer valid. What drove this mostly was competition with Turkey for Arab and Muslim goodwill. It became evident that this was not so forthcoming, and goodwill that did exist was not worth that much. At same time, a sharp deterioration occurred in Turkish-Israeli relations.

The Greeks saw opportunity,” he said.

“The Greeks were looking at a comprehensive spectrum of relations. The military dimension is one factor, and not an unimportant one. They thought Israel had a long-standing military and strategic relationship with Turkey, which seemed to be really jeopardized by the change in attitude by the Turkish government led by [Recep Tayyip] Erdogan.

The Greeks presumably assumed they could replace Turkey,” Heller said.

“Any relationship is reciprocal, but not necessarily equivalent. Greece gets more out of it than Israel does,” he argued.

“That does not mean there can’t be mutual benefit,” Heller said.

Greece believes Israel has a significant influence on the US, a factor that grew in importance as Greece’s relationship with Europe came under growing strain, he added.

“Israel is trying to replace its relationship with Turkey, to the extent that it can. It has gained access to air and naval training, and it is exchanging information.

To be perfectly honest, I do not think Greece can ever be a replacement for Turkey’s size, military power, and strategic assets. But it is a lot better than nothing, and it is helpful for Israel to have a friend in the corridors of the EU,” Heller stated.

He described an “overlapping convergence of interests,” in which “Cyprus, and by extension Greece, are concerned by what Turkey may or may not do in the maritime routes of the eastern Mediterranean and the natural gas issue, while Israel is concerned over what Hezbollah or Lebanon may or may not do in the same region. There are ongoing contingency plans, and an exchange of assessments.”

Prof. Efraim Inbar, director of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, noted the decline of the US’s influence in the eastern Mediterranean as a factor in Greece’s decision to become more assertive.

“On our side, we are looking for places to fly in and carry out maneuvers.

Greece has two voices in the EU, and they are worried by Turkey’s activities in Syria and Libya. We also do not like this, and neither do the Egyptians.”

Greece also has an S-300 surface-to-air battery that could prove useful in Israeli training missions for potential future strikes on the Iranian nuclear program.

“Greece, because of all of its islands, has huge territory in the Mediterranean.

Ninety percent of Israeli exports pass through the Mediterranean,” Inbar said.

He added that the Greeks could also help “bring the Egyptians closer to us.

They have historical relations with Egypt, and they do not want to be alone with us.”

Ultimately, Inbar said, relations with Greece challenge notions that Israel is isolated. “Under three different governments… they have preserved relations.

They need us more than we need them – this is clear. They are concerned by Turkey, which is causing problems, sending refugees into the EU. They are worried that Turkey might activate a jihadist cell in Cyprus. They need us.”

Inbar said he was skeptical that Israeli-Turkish relations could really be mended, even if an agreement is reached. “There is no chance under Erdogan that we will reach the same level of relations with Ankara that existed in the 1990s. Talks are occurring, but I am not sure we will reach a diplomatic interest. We have an interest… but the Turks support Hamas, and it is not a close partner of the US. There is much suspicion on the Israeli side,” he added.

Israel, Inbar said, “is not isolated. Many need us. The US exit from the region paradoxically created new partners for us.”

 

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IS-RU:160513:(16-MAY-16):Israel’s Netanyahu expected to visit Russia in June – minister to Ifax

Reuters 13-May-16

 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to make an official visit to Russia in June, the Interfax news agency quoted Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov as saying on Friday.

 

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EGE:160514:(16-MAY-16):Germany’s Military Turnaround

The Trumpet 14-May-16

 

Germany’s military is expanding for the first time in a quarter of a century. Agence France-Presse covers the details in an article titled “Germany to Increase Troops for First Time Since Cold War Ended”:

Germany is raising the number of its troops for the first time since 1990, ending a quarter of a century of successive cuts in the Army since the end of the Cold War. The Bundeswehr is expected to increase in the next seven years by 14,300 soldiers, while 4,400 civilian officers will also be added to the service, Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen said.

This boost in troop strength is “necessary, given the current situation” of increasing tensions with Russia over the conflict in Ukraine, as well as several foreign missions undertaken by the Army, she said.

Germany is preparing to join efforts to bolster nato’s presence on its eastern flank bordering Russia, in a bid to reassure east European alliance members rattled by Moscow’s annexation of Crimea.

The Bundeswehr has also deployed troops to Mali as part of a UN mission to monitor a peace deal between the government and northern rebels in the West African country. It has also joined an international coalition battling [the Islamic State] in Iraq and Syria. …

“A quarter century of shrinking is over. It is time for the Bundeswehr to grow again,” said von der Leyen. “Not only is this not the trend, it actually represents a 180-degree turn in personnel policy,” the head of German Armed Forces Association, André Wüstner, told the Rhineland Post. The Telegraph wrote:

During the Cold War, the West German Bundeswehr was seen as the first line of defense against a Soviet invasion and was described as “perhaps the world’s best army.” The government will also ask parliament to raise the upper limit on size of the Army from 185,000, so that the Army can be expanded more rapidly if necessary. Financial Times also described the big shift within Germany:

“The personnel increase is not significant in itself,” said Christian Mölling, a defense specialist at the German Marshall Fund of the U.S., a think tank. “But there is a whole package of changes which add up to a large change for Germany.” Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government is building on the German public’s increasing acceptance of the need for more military spending following Russian President Vladimir Putin’s aggression towards Ukraine and the Islamist terrorist attacks in Europe.

Also, the arrival of more than 1 million refugees in the past year, chiefly from the war-torn Middle East, has convinced many Germans that the world’s crises are coming closer to their front doors—and so require a more active response

 

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IS:160514:(16-MAY-16):How Israel is turning part of the Negev Desert into a cyber-city

Washington Post 14-May-16

 

BEERSHEBA, Israel — Here in the middle of the Negev Desert, a cyber-city is rising to cement Israel’s place as a major digital power. The new development, an outcropping of glass and steel, will concentrate some of the country’s top talent from the military, academia and business in an area of just a few square miles.

No other country is so purposefully integrating its private, scholarly, government and military ­cyber-expertise.

Israel is a nation of 8 million people with little in the way of natural resources. But in global private investment into cyber­security firms, it is second only to the United States, with half a billion dollars flowing to the sector annually. Israel has not only vowed to repel the thousands of daily hack attacks against targets as diverse as the electric grid and ATMs, but it has also promised to build its commercial cybersector into an economic powerhouse.

[Israel hopes a cyber-city in the desert will coax highly trained, affluent, young people away from Tel Aviv]

More quietly, the Jewish state is also at the cutting edge of cyberoffense, developing stealthy computer weapons to penetrate its enemies’ networks. The United States and Israel, working together, launched the world’s most destructive cyberweapon known to date, Stuxnet, which was let loose on Iran’s Natanz nuclear enrichment facility to devastating effect.

But where the two countries diverge is in Israel’s apparent ability, because of its size, history, geography and culture, to organize itself to defeat cyberthreats. Different sectors of society — that in the United States do not have a tradition of collaborating — appear willing in Israel to work closely together under a strong centralized authority.

“You will not find it in the United States,” said Eviatar Matania, the head of the National Cyber Bureau. “First, we have more enemies than others. We understand that the cyberthreat is here and now. Second, a lot of Israel’s high-tech and innovation culture is in cyber. This is where we can gain an advantage over other countries in defending ourselves. And thus, we see cyber not just as a threat to mitigate, but also as one of our economic engines.”

That strategy is the foundation of Beersheba.

A cyber emergency response team, which was launched in 2014 to respond to cyber crises, will be housed in the midst of this booming development. It is part of the National Cyber Security Authority, which is mandated to protect all private-sector systems.

Nearby, next to a new advanced technology park that already houses cyberfirm incubators and global companies such as PayPal, Lockheed Martin and Deutsche Telekom, backhoes are preparing a construction site that will become the headquarters of the Israeli military’s cyberdefenders.

[Israel to launch one of the most advanced missile defense systems in the world]

Eventually, the nation’s secretive, elite cyberattack branch — the army’s Unit 8200 — will also burrow in here. The two branches are scheduled to merge next year. They in turn will work closely with the National Cyber Security Authority.

Joining the effort will be the Shin Bet, Israel’s security agency, which as well as its role in Israel and the occupied territories, has been a key cyber player for more than a decade. And completing the complex is Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, which is the nation’s top school for cybersecurity. The university will also work with the cyber-response team.

“What you get out of that is the research capabilities that academia brings, the real-world knowledge that the [tech firms] bring, the hands-on experience that the military brings, alongside the entrepreneurial ability that the start-ups bring,” said Nadav Zafrir, a former head of Israel’s Unit 8200, who is himself now a tech entrepreneur. “You put all that together, it sparks magic.”

[Stuxnet was work of U.S. and Israeli experts, officials say]

Blocking, throwing punches

Israel will never achieve a ­cyberespionage network on the scale of the United States. But it wants to be feared in the region, and its computer hacking and spying skills are sophisticated and innovative.

“The United States has more capabilities than Israel in cyberspace,” said Gabi Siboni, director of the cybersecurity program at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv. “But we are small. We are very anxious, and it’s the difference between a speedboat and an aircraft carrier. We go very fast.”

So central is security seen for the state’s survival that every citizen — men and women alike, with exceptions for ultra-Orthodox Jews and the Arab population — is required after high school to complete a term of military ­service. The cream of the computer science and math crop are scouted by the elite military ­cyber-units when they are as young as 14.

“If you ask me what’s the biggest secret of the Israeli high-tech system, it’s the military’s ability to look at people when they are in high school,” Zafrir said.

The roots of Israel as a cyber power go back to the 1973 Yom Kippur War, said retired Brig. Gen. Yair Cohen, another former head of Unit 8200, which employs thousands of soldiers and serves a role similar to the National Security Agency. In less than three weeks, Israel lost more than 2,000 soldiers largely because of a dramatic failure of intelligence.

As a result, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) decided to reinforce their signals intelligence arm, Unit 8200. The unit sought the best code-makers and code-breakers, Cohen said. It also began to conduct its own research and development, with soldiers building radio interception, and now cyber tools. “We cannot wait for someone in the United States to give us technology,” said Cohen, who now runs his own cyber venture capital firm.

Today, the military is working closely with the National Cyber Bureau, and is seeking legislation that will allow it “to be a major player in defending the nation” against cyberattacks and to take action against adversaries, said Brig. Gen. Danny Bren, head of the branch in charge of defending the military’s computer networks.

The military hopes to establish a cyber-command by the second half of next year, a move the United States took seven years ago to merge the missions of attack and defense. Bren likens it to boxing. “You don’t see the boxers only throwing punches, or only blocking,” he said. “They must do both.”

Israel’s ability to play offense came to light in a joint operation with the United States called “Olympic Games,” a campaign to disrupt Iran’s nuclear enrichment program. Discovered by private-sector researchers in June 2010, the computer worm Stuxnet caused nearly 1,000 centrifuges at Natanz to spin out of control, requiring replacements. Never officially acknowledged by either country, the campaign nonetheless showed the world what was possible with a cyberweapon and it spurred other countries — Iran chief among them — to set up cyber-commands.

“This global understanding drove everybody to a cyber­weapon force buildup,” Bren said.

But Israel’s desire to act has sometimes created friction with even its closest ally. In 2012, Iran detected a series of cyberattacks that wiped data from networks in its oil industry. Investigating the malware, private-sector researchers discovered a cyberespionage tool that had been created jointly with the United States years earlier, but that Western officials said was launched by Israel in a unilateral operation. That deployment annoyed the NSA, as it led to the discovery of the spy tool, dubbed Flame.

[U.S., Israel developed Flame computer virus to slow Iranian nuclear efforts, officials say]

But, said a former senior U.S. intelligence official, “it was generally viewed as being worse for the Israelis than it was for us” because it was their primary cyber­espionage tool.

“Any time two states agree to tackle complex and consequential projects together, misunderstandings and occasional disagreements are inevitable,” said Stephen Slick, a former CIA station chief in Tel Aviv who now teaches at the University of Texas at Austin. Nonetheless, he said, “a deep reservoir of mutual respect and trust exists between the Israeli and U.S. security communities, with both sides recognizing the benefits of close collaboration in cyber-activities.”

Cross-pollination in desert

High on the 22nd floor of Israel Electric Corp., the nation’s main electric utility, a jumbo screen on a wall shows the frequency and intensity of attempted hacks into the government-owned company’s network. Israel Electric, located in Haifa on the Mediterranean Sea, two hours north of Beersheba, is one of the most targeted entities in Israel.

A successful attack could disrupt power to virtually all of Israel, said Yosi Shneck, the company’s senior vice president for information and communication. To date, none have succeeded. His engineers have help from an outside source: Shin Bet. Besides thwarting physical terrorist attacks, the security agency is responsible for protecting 30 or so critical entities from cyberattacks. The list was drawn up by Israel’s parliament and includes the Bank of Israel, oil refineries and the blood bank. That is the equivalent of the FBI regulating major U.S. businesses or private entities for cybersecurity — an authority that would alarm American companies and civil libertarians and could not secure support in Congress.

But in Israel, the fear of a major attack is greater than concern for privacy, said Rami Efrati, a former National Cyber Bureau official and founder of Firmitas, a cyber firm.

Shin Bet does not monitor the companies’ networks. It sniffs out threats before they hit the firms. It also relies on sensors the companies install in their systems to gather information that is then fed back to the security agency. In turn, Unit 8200 and Mossad, the foreign intelligence agency, also share cyberthreat data with Shin Bet. By contrast, in the United States, it took years to pass a law to encourage — not compel — companies to share computer data with the government.

Yaron Wolfsthal, who heads an IBM research lab at Ben-Gurion University here, is anticipating more cross-pollination in the desert, as he awaits the arrival of army cyber-units.

“We can work with them even before they are discharged,” he said, noting some will be working toward advanced degrees. And, he added, “The technical engineers will go from their home to the base everyday, and on the way, they will see banners for all the companies here. This primes them to consider working in those companies later on.”

The military’s elite cyber-units, for their part, have created a climate that fosters innovation and encourages people to stay even after their terms of service are up — three years for men and two for women.

“Unit 8200 works like a start-up,” said Tomer Touati, a captain who stayed for six years and is now with PeriTech, a cyber venture capital firm. “You have your own R&D team. You can pick up the phone or send an email to another R&D team and say, ‘Look, I think if you do this and this, we can work faster or better.’ ”

Israel is also grooming its next generation of warriors to populate the cyber-infrastructure it is building.

At Ohel Shem High School in Ramat Gan outside Tel Aviv, a uniformed recruiter sits in on sophomore math classes, scouting candidates for the units that protect the military’s networks.

Military cyber-officers are mentoring students at four Israeli high schools that have advanced courses in math and computer science. The two-year-old program has more than 800 students.

“My dream since childhood is to work in computers and cyber,” said Yarin Zeevi, 18. “This,” she said, “is what I can give to Israel, as a citizen and as a soldier.”

To lure students to sign up for cyber-units, the military organizes trips to its training base near Tel Aviv where students can get a taste of the action. One recent excursion featured a “hack-a-thon” in which the students were assigned to build an Android app that would allow a smartphone to take a person’s picture and then use facial-recognition software to search databases for a match.

“We are looking for talent,” said Capt. Rotem Bashi, a commander in a cyberdefense unit, “because the . . . next war will be in cyberspace.”

 

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US-EU:160514:(16-MAY-16):US launches European missile defense shield

Vatican Radio14-May-16

 

The United States has officially begun building a military installation in Poland that will form part of a larger missile defense shield for Europe, operated by the NATO military alliance. Friday’s construction began shortly after the U.S. switched on an $800 million defensive missile launcher in Romania, provoking an angry reaction from Russia which views the project as a threat to its security.

Listen to Stefan Bos’ report:

After years of preparation workers have now begun building the U.S. anti-ballistic-missile instillation at Poland’s former military airport in Redzikowo near the Baltic coast. The site will be able to host some 300 American troops in 2018.

Situated about 250 kilometers (155 miles) from the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, it will host 24 land-based SM-3 missiles as well as antiaircraft systems. The installation in Poland is the final site of the European missile shield, which will be handed over to the NATO in July and run from a U.S. air base in Germany.

It will be a counterpart to a base in the southern Romanian village of Deveselu.

In Romania, accompanied by an honor guard and military band, senior U.S. and NATO officials declared operational what is Europe’s first land-based defensive missile launcher site.

RUSSIA ANGRY

The system is capable of shooting down rockets from countries such as Iran that Washington claims could one day reach major European cities. Moscow is furious saying the shield upsets the strategic balance in Europe, posing a security threat to Russia.

Yet speaking in Romania, U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work played down Russia’s fears. “It was never, ever about Russia. It was always about ballistic missiles coming out of the Middle Eastern region towards NATO allies and U.S. forces in Europe,” he said.

“And I just like to echo what the NATO secretary general has said. We have offered to the Russians to show them the technical specs. We have done everything we can to try to make sure that they understand the capabilities of the system and why it does not pose any type of a threat to their strategic deterrence,” Work added.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said at the same ceremony that the missile defence shield does not undermine or weaken what he called Russia’s strategic nuclear deterrent.

But senior Russian officials have threatened military retaliation that could include targeting the facilities.

 

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IS:160516:(16-MAY-16):4.9-magnitude Earthquake Shakes Southern Israel

Haaretz 16-May-16

 

A 4.9-magnitude earthquake struck southern Israel just before 5 A.M. on Monday morning. No injuries or property damages were reported.

The quake was felt throughout the Negev region, with tremors being detected from Eilat to Be’er Sheva.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the earthquake’s epicenter was about 100 kilometers southwest of Eilat in the Red Sea, 25 kilometers northeast of Dhabab, Egypt.

On June 27, 2015, an earthquake measuring 5.1 in magnitude struck just north of the city of Nuweiba in the Sinai Peninsula. The light tremor was felt in Ashdod, Be’er Sheva and Eilat and caused no injuries or damages.

 

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UK-EU:160516:(16-MAY-16):EU referendum: More than 300 business leaders back a Brexit

Daily Telegraph 16-May-16

 

More than 300 business leaders are calling on Britain to vote to leave the European Union, saying that the country’s “competitiveness is being undermined by our membership”.

In a letter published in the Telegraph, the business leaders say that Brussels’ “red tape stifles every one of Britain’s 5.4 million businesses” and claim that a Brexit would allow them to “create more jobs”.

Signatories of the letter include Peter Goldstein, a founder of Superdrug, Steve Dowdle, the former vice president Europe of technology firm Sony, David Sismey, a MD of Goldman Sachs and Sir Patrick Sheehy, the former chairman of British American Tobacco.

Boris Johson: eight reasons Britain should leave the EU Play! 02:09

The letter is also signed by hundreds of people linked to small and medium-sized businesses. In total the backers of the letter are from businesses employing hundreds of thousands of members of staff.

It will be seen as an attempt to redress the balance after the Bank of England and the International Monetary Fund last week warned that a Brexit would damage Britain’s economy.

It came as:

Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England, said that Brexit campaigners are in “denial” about the economic risk of the UK leaving the EU, in an intervention described as “incredibly dangerous” by a minister.

George Osborne, the Chancellor, will on Monday make a speech warning about the economic cost of a Brexit.

Boris Johnson prompted a row by comparing the EU to Nazi Germany.

Senior Conservative said that as many as 100 Tory backbenchers could back a no confidence vote in David Cameron if Britain votes to remain in the EU.

Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, said that he will under no circumstance share a platform with Mr Cameron ahead of the referendum.

Three million European Union citizens in Britain could have to be deported in event of a Brexit, a Home Office minister suggested.

The letter in the Telegraph is signed by 306 business leaders in a personal capacity.

It states: “Year-on-year the EU buys less from Britain because its economies are stagnant and millions of workers are unemployed. According to Mervyn King, the former Bank of England Governor, the Euro ‘might explode’. Brussels’ red tape stifles every one of Britain’s 5.4 million businesses, even though only a small minority actually trade with the EU.

“It is business – not government – which generates wealth for the Treasury and jobs for our communities. Outside the EU, British business will be free to grow faster, expand into new markets and create more jobs. It’s time to Vote Leave and take back control.”

Meanwhile, Lord Farmer, the former Treasurer of the Conservative Party and founder of Red Kite Group, who is also a signatory of the letter has written for this newspaper’s website to say that warnings of the risk of a Brexit are “misguided”.

All you need to know about polling day Play! 01:46

Lord Farmer writes: “Warnings of disaster if we leave are misguided. Britain, the world’s fifth-biggest economy, should be confident that others will want to trade freely with it especially if, like the EU, they already do so. Europe has a surplus of nearly £70bn with us and no reason to put up barriers.

“Nor will EU countries want to restrict their access to the London markets. Canary Wharf alone does more business than Frankfurt and we are Europe’s financial outlet to the world. Everyone benefits when London booms.

“We can see the possibility now for a bright new beginning. By voting to leave, we will be taking back democracy and this will benefit everyone. By ending a decades-old deception, we will be leading the way for the continent to become more democratic and less intrusive. Brussels will moan, but I suspect the peoples of Europe will be pleased.”

David Cameron’s remain campaign believes that it can win the June 23 vote by focussing on the risks of a Brexit to the economy.

Mr Osborne is in the coming days expected to unveil a major report detailing exactly how the value of houses will fall if Britain leaves the EU.

EU referendum in one word: are you Team Cameron or Team Boris? Play! 01:25

The Leave campaign will use the letter to claim that British businesses are divided ahead of the referendum.

They will also point to the support of so many business leaders from small and medium-sized companies.

Eurosceptics have repeatedly said that the Remain campaign is backed only by big business.

It emerged last week that the campaign to keep Britain in Europe is being part-funded with hundreds of thousands of pounds from foreign companies and some of America’s biggest banks.

Figures from the Electoral Commission show that Citigroup and Morgan Stanley donated £250,000 each to the official Britain Stronger in Europe group ahead of the June 23 referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union.

Two other US banks – Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan – donated £500,000 each to the Britain Stronger in Europe campaign before February when donations had to be declared.

 

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UK-EU-US:160516:(16-MAY-16):Donald Trump: Brexit would not put UK at back of queue with US

The Guardian16-May-16

 

Tycoon, on track to win presidential nomination, says it would not matter to him if a country was in the EU or not

Donald Trump has said leaving the EU would not put Britain at the back of the queue to secure a US trade deal under his presidency – a move applauded by the Ukip leader, Nigel Farage, who admitted he had reservations about backing the controversial Republican.

Referring to Barack Obama’s warning to Britain over the EU referendum, Trump, who is on track to secure the Republican nomination, said: “I think if I were from Britain I would probably want to go back to a different system.”

Questioned about Britain’s place in any queue under a Trump presidency in an interview with Piers Morgan, to be broadcast on ITV on Monday, he said: “I don’t want to say front or anything else.

“I mean, I’m going to treat everybody fairly but it wouldn’t make any difference to me whether they were in the EU or not. You’d certainly not be at the back of the queue, that I can tell you.”

Responding to clips from the broadcast, shown on ITV’s Peston on Sunday, Farage, who had criticised Obama’s intervention, welcomed Trump’s comments. He said: “It just goes to show Donald Trump is measured, neutral, doesn’t want to get stuck into the punch-up. He’s given a very diplomatic answer.”

Asked if he would back Trump, Farage, who has said he shares concerns about an out-of-touch political class with the American, implied he would do so, but reluctantly.

“I have difficulty with that,” Farage told Peston. “Let’s put it like this, I couldn’t vote for [Hillary Clinton] even if you paid me.

“If you put me up against a wall it would be [Trump] not Hillary, but I have reservations. Encouraging people to beat up protesters, one or two things like that bother me, but look, I tell you what, I think he’s going to win.”

 

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UK-EU:160516:(16-MAY-16):Campaigning for Brexit, Boris Johnson Likens EU’s Aims to Hitler’s

Wall Street Journal 16-May-16

 

In a newspaper interview, the ex-London Mayor described the bloc as another attempt to centralize European power

Boris Johnson, the leading campaigner for Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union, likened the bloc’s aims to those of Adolf Hitler, capping a week in which the campaigns for and against EU membership shifted into high gear ahead of the referendum next month.

In an interview with the Sunday Telegraph, Mr. Johnson said the EU was an attempt to rediscover a golden age of a unified Europe under the Romans that had been tried by Hitler and Napoleon and had ended tragically, although he added that the bloc’s methods were different. Then as now, there was no underlying loyalty to the idea of Europe and no single authority that anybody respected, he said.

“That is causing this massive democratic void,” Mr. Johnson—the former mayor of London who is touted as a contender to succeed Prime Minister David Cameron—was quoted as saying.

The main campaign group urging Britons to vote to stay in the bloc, Britain Stronger in Europe, quoted, in a statement, a former head of the British army saying the comparison between Hitler’s attempts to violently subjugate Europeans and the EU was “absurd” and “laughable.” The opposition Labour Party’s foreign-affairs spokesman called Mr. Johnson’s comments offensive and desperate.

A person familiar with Mr. Johnson’s thinking said the quotes in the newspaper article attributed to Mr. Johnson were accurate but the headline “Boris: How EU wants a superstate, as Hitler did” was misleading. Mr. Johnson was putting forward a view of European history that suggested efforts to centralize European power had all failed, be they were political or tyrannical, the person said.

A key argument of those in favor of withdrawing from the EU is that the bloc is undemocratic and supplants national sovereignty. Those in favor of staying, led by Mr. Cameron, have said the U.K. would be safer and more prosperous in the EU than outside it.

The debate ahead of the June 23 referendum intensified this week as politicians of all stripes took to the streets to press their case in what current opinion polls show is a too-close-to-call result. The increased tempo of campaigning by the prime minister and Mr. Johnson and several pro-Brexit government ministers has also highlighted the divisions among Mr. Cameron’s Conservative Party over the issue.

An online survey of 2,043 people on May 11-12 by polling firm CommunicateResearch Ltd. released Saturday found that 45% said Mr. Johnson was more likely to tell the truth about the EU than Mr. Cameron while 21% said they thought the prime minister was more likely to tell the truth about the EU than the former London mayor.

At a campaign event on Saturday, Mr. Cameron said a vote to leave would be a vote for higher prices, fewer jobs, lower growth and potentially recession.

Bank of England Gov. Mark Carney said Thursday that a British exit from the EU, or Brexit, could slam the brakes on growth, push up unemployment and stoke inflation, in the central bank’s clearest warning yet about the potential economic costs surrounding the referendum. The statement infuriated euroskeptics who argued he had overstepped his mandate by commenting on the issue and was taking the government’s side in the debate.

In an interview with the British Broadcasting Corp. on Sunday, Mr. Carney defended his comments, saying the Bank of England was “absolutely independent” and stood by its warning that Brexit could lead to a “technical recession”—when economic output declines for at least two straight quarters—with growth materially slower and inflation materially higher.

“Ignoring a risk is not to reduce it,” he said, adding that central banks are independent in very specific areas so as not to bend to political pressure from any side and make clear objective judgments and explain those judgments.

“If we are potentially going to alter the path of interest rates or other instruments of monetary policy because of certain things manifesting we have a duty to explain that to the British people and to Parliament,” he said.

 

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RU-EGE-EU:160514:(16-MAY-16):Berlin, Moscow: Nord Stream 2 to boost EU gas market

New Europe 14-May-16

 

Gazprom, OMV discuss Russian gas exports to Austria, asset swap, oil supplies and Nord Stream 2

Russian gas monopoly Gazprom and the German government on May 11 discussed the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which was criticised earlier by some members of the European Parliament.

A working meeting was held between Gazprom CEO Alexey Miller and German Vice Chancellor and Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy Sigmar Gabriel in Berlin on May 11, Gazprom said in a press release.

The Russian gas giant noted that the parties discussed gas exports from Russia to Germany. “It was highlighted that last year had set an all-time record for gas supplies from Russia as they grew by 6.6 billion cubic metres (a 17.1% increase),” Gazprom said.

“The growth trend continues this year as well: the exports have already risen by 2 billion cubic meters (a 19% increase) in the first four months of 2016 compared to 2015. In light of the increasing demand for Russian energy products in Europe, the meeting participants stressed the importance of the Nord Stream 2 project,” it added.

“It was noted that the new gas transmission pipeline would not only improve the reliability of gas deliveries but also facilitate the development of the European gas market,” Gazprom said.

Another working meeting took place on May 11 between Miller and Austria’s OMV Chairman Rainer Seele. The meeting addressed a wide range of issues, including, inter alia, Russian gas exports to Austria, the asset swap, and oil supplies. “An emphasis was placed on the cooperation between the parties within the Nord Stream 2 project,” Gazprom said.

Two days earlier, at the European parliament in Strasbourg, MEPs voiced grave concerns about Nord Stream 2. In a debate with Climate Action and Energy Commissioner Miguel Arias Cañete on May 9, MEPs argued the project goes against the objectives of the Energy Union, harms solidarity among EU member states and should be considered from a geopolitical as well as an economic perspective.

 

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EGR-EU:160513:(16-MAY-16):The Risky Sacrifice of Greece

New Europe 13-May-16

 

Greece is one step before collapse and the European Commission, the driving force of the supervisory team, named troika before and quartetto now, is insisting to impose policies which will only accelerate the collapse. With the new round of taxes legislated last weekend, Greeks will stop paying for anything.

The why is simple. Greece is earmarked as the black sheep of the European Union and must be sacrificed in order to save the other sheep before they change their colours. Greece is being sacrificed to save Spain, to start with. Indeed, having visited recently Barcelona, I understood that the message successfully passed to ordinary people is that if they vote for the non-conventional party Podemos of Pablo Inglesias the country will end up like Greece. A similar message is being passed to the Italians where Beppe Grillo with Movimento Cinque Stelle is dangerously rising. It is as simple as that.

However, the collapse of Greece may trigger other undesirable side effects. But the Commission cannot understand this because its thinking is linear. When you live isolated in a glass palace with diluted information, you see everything linear. Societies, the real world, however, are in an ever-evolving turbulent mode.

Most Greeks and many Europeans realise the serious responsibilities of the European Commission over the Greek catastrophe. The why and how is something for future historians to assess. At this moment, we will limit to present what could be practically done to avoid the social turmoil that is imminent and may prove more cataclysmic for Europe rather than for Greece.

President Jean-Claude Juncker is a sharp, intelligent and honest politician. However, thanks to the successful work of his communication and intelligence networks, he has been completely isolated from everyday reality. Indeed, if he knew the real situation in Greece and how possibly it is going to end, he would be approaching Greece in a different way. The beauty of this superb disorientation exercise is that when people are asked what the President thinks about it, the reply, vague yet concrete, always (off the record) is, “you know, he does not care very much” insinuating lies that make imaginations fly.

Greek society has entered into a deep stage of economic, but primarily psychological, depression where nobody cares about anything. Greeks do not care to produce, do not care to develop, do not care to work and do not care to do anything.

There are a few very efficient yet controversial and erratic provisions to take for Greece to return back to normal.

Stop the cartelisation of the Greek market. In Greece, everything is a cartel, we have said this in the past but repletio mater studiorum. It is enough to send a team of DG Competition to Greece and in one month’s time the cost of living will drop to half.

Everything in Greece (except rents) come under a cartel. Supermarkets, cement, construction materials, fresh milk, highways, transport services, fuel oil etc., etc., etc.

Here’s one example. The two airlines of the country merged with the blessings of the Commission in October 2013. The merger was initially refused but thanks to strong political pressures it was accepted (in reality Aegean purchased Olympic). However, certain conditions were set by the Commission for the approval to be given. The conditions were accepted and the merger was approved.

Since then, the Commission was never bothered to check if such conditions were ever met and more so that these were never made known to the public.

Today, a one-way ticket from Corfu to Athens (a 25-minute flight), usually is at €150. These days, there was a general strike in Greece which includes all civil servants and the crews of coastal car ferry services except, what a coincidence, air-controllers. During the strike (Corfu is an island) the Corfu-Athens tickets are selling for more than €200.

Another issue the Commission could intervene and resolve is contraband. Greece is losing every year billions of euros because of petrol smuggling. In Attica (the Athens region) alone, there are 1,200 illegal oil storage facilities. Among the money lost by the smuggling, there is a considerable amount of VAT. Therefore, OLAF could investigate and fix it.

There are two more situations to fix for Greece to easily revert to development.  Both are blocked by the ideological limitations of the Greek government and the sensitivities of the Greek opposition. However, a Commission intervention could do it.

The Greek public sector is a bottomless barrel. No matter what, no government right, left or centre will ever dismiss civil servants in Greece. The reason is irrelevant. What the Commission could impose is a gradual reduction of the salaries budget. This is the only efficient way.

The most important step, however, will be the tacit deregulation of the private sector. It is obviously a blasphemy for any Greek politician yet it is the only way.

The Commission and the government are dreaming about big foreign investments in Greece which they think are on the way. Dream on! Nobody will ever come to invest in Greece under the present conditions when no Greek is investing in his own country. The rest is philosophy.

Small companies in Greece, entities with few, mostly family, employees can become the locomotors of re-launching the Greek economy. Presently, all these companies are dying. They produce little, if anything at all, and they pay no taxes or contributions because they have no income. At the same time there is a huge number of unemployed in Greece who, of course, pay neither taxes nor social security contributions.

Simply, the government should instruct by word-of-mouth all state authorities to stop controlling all companies with less than 10 employees for a decade, except for two elements. Not to employ personnel without a legal status for work and to pay regularly VAT. At the same time, abolish all documents necessary to do business. Abolish the debt worthiness certificate of the banks (Tiressias) and abolish all tax and social security certificates. Let small companies free, as it was in the early fifties. Let them produce without taxes and without social security contributions or any labour law obligation. After all, they will employ the unemployed, who will get something instead of the nothing they get now and they will pay VAT which now they do not because they do not produce. They will not pay income tax, but who cares since now they do not pay anyway and this will be the incentive to get them active again. And, once they will get some non-taxed income what will they do with it? It will stay in Greece and will be infused in the orthodox channels of the local economy as Switzerland has become too expensive to wash money.

 

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RUK-EGE:160510:(16-MAY-16):The Era of Revisionism (I)

German Foreign Policy 10-May-16

 

On the 71st Anniversary of Europe’s liberation from the Nazi’s reign of terror, currently pro-western Ukraine’s leading historian – responsible for the official narrative on history – denies that principal Ukrainian nationalist organizations were collaborating with the Nazis and participated in the Holocaust. In a recent commentary, Volodymyr Viatrovych, Director of the “Ukrainian Institute of National Remembrance” calls accusations of the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) and the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) having collaborated with the Nazi-aggressors, “xenophobia,” and the allegation that they had participated in the Holocaust and committed mass murder among the Polish population, “characteristic of Soviet propaganda.” The Ukrainian historian wrote his commentary in response to an article published in the US magazine “Foreign Policy.” The article sharply criticized Ukraine’s growing revisionism – a revisionism that had already been promoted during pro-western President Viktor Yushchenko’s term of office and further accentuated in the aftermath of the pro-western coup in 2014. “Foreign Policy,” which has always been loyal to Kiev’s putschist regime, now warns that Ukraine “could be headed for a new, and frightening, era of censorship.”

Kiev’s Commemoration

On the 71st Anniversary of Europe’s liberation from the Nazi reign of terror, Kiev’s top government officials have ignited a new round of sharp controversy over their whitewashing and glorification of Ukrainian Nazi collaborators. A current article in the US magazine “Foreign Policy” started the dispute with its strong criticism of the Director of the “Ukrainian Institute of National Remembrance,” Volodymyr Viatrovych. The historian is considered a central figure in Kiev’s official policy on history. For years, his standpoints have been provoking indignant protests by prominent historians.

Whitewashed

Viatrovych (born in 1977) first made a name for himself as the co-founder and director of the “Center for Research of Liberation Movement” in Lviv, western Ukraine. The Center is considered to serve as a front for the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) in exile. The center is funded and run by the émigré OUN, as the historian Per Anders Rudling confirmed in an interview with german-foreign-policy.com.[1] The OUN was the most important organization of the Ukrainian Nazi collaborators. Along with the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA), the OUN participated in the mass murder of Jews on Soviet territory and the massacre of more than 90,000 Poles – with the objective of creating an “ethnically pure” Ukraine.[2] Following the war, many OUN members fled into exile to the Federal Repubilc of Germany, the USA or Canada, where they continued their political activities – until 1991, against the Soviet Union.[3] As director of the OUN “Center for Research”, Viatrovych published the book “The OUN’s position towards the Jews” (in Lviv, 2006), wherein he seeks to whitewash – using blatant forgeries, according to renowned historians – the Ukrainian Nazi-collaboration of its Anti-Semitism stigma.[4] In 2011, he amplified his revisionism with a second book, relativizing the Ukrainian Nazi collaborators’ mass murder of Poles as “the second Polish-Ukrainian war.”[5]

Falsified

Already during the incumbency of pro-western President Viktor Yushchenko, Viatrovych had played a prominent role in Kiev’s historical policies. In 2008, he was appointed to head Ukraine’s Intelligence Services Archives, which had contained a large number of documents concerning the OUN and the UPA. Back then, he and his colleagues had committed serious forgeries, according to the US journal “Foreign Policy.” In the archive’s publications words, sentences, entire paragraphs implicating the OUN and UPA had been removed. Along with other historians, Jeffrey Burds, professor for Russian, Ukrainian and Soviet History at the Northeastern University in Boston, could confirm these forgeries using copies of the original documents.[6] “Foreign Policy” attributes Viatrovych with also having exercised influence in the re-writing of history books for Ukraine’s schools, which have recently come to the attention of German historians. According to one analysis, three schoolbooks, published soon after Viatrovych stepped down as head of the Intelligence Service Archives (2010), favorably depicted the OUN, its leader Stepan Bandera and the UPA “as combatants for Ukrainian independence.”[7] Not only the German Reich, but also the Soviet Union are presented as Ukraine’s “enemies” during World War Two. This corresponds to the commemoration of the OUN and the UPA, who were particularly fighting Moscow.

Honored

In this context, both Viktor Yanukovych’s dismissal of Viatrovych from the Intelligence Service Archives – Yanukovych was elected in 2010 – and Viatrovych’s appointment as head of the Ukrainian Institute of National Remembrance, March 25, 2014 – just weeks after the pro-western coup in Kiev – can be seen as programmatic decisions. In fact, since 2014, Viatrovych has had considerable influence on the Ukrainian government’s historical policy. For example, October 14 has been declared the “Day of the Defenders of Ukraine.” This is the same day that Ukrainian fascists traditionally celebrate the founding of the UPA. Alongside the traditional holiday on May 9, in memory of the liberation from Nazi terror, May 8 has been named the “Day of Remembrance and Reconciliation,” to also “include the UPA’s liberation struggle, during and since the German-Soviet War, into the war narrative,” according to an analysis of Ukraine’s commemoration policies.[8] In April 2015, the parliament officially designated the OUN and UPA to be “combatants for Ukrainian independence.” Since then, it is prohibited to dispute the “legitimacy” of their “struggle for the independence of Ukraine.” In June 2015, the Ministry of Education handed down a directive calling upon teachers to accentuate “the patriotism and morality of the activists of the liberation movement,” including honoring the UPA as a “symbol of patriotism and sacrificial spirit” and revere the OUN Leader, Stepan Bandera as an “outstanding representative” of the Ukrainian people.[9] There are numerous other examples.

“Russian Intelligence Services”

The renowned US journal “Foreign Policy” has sharply criticized this development. Viatrovych attempts “to redraft the country’s modern history to whitewash Ukrainian nationalist groups’ involvement in the Holocaust and mass ethnic cleansing of Poles during World War II” – and right now, he’s winning, writes the author.[10] Even worse, scholars are beginning to fear “reprisals,” should they not uphold the official line on OUN and UPA. Under Viatrovych’s reign, “the country could be headed for a new, and frightening, era of censorship,” predicts the author, pointing out that an open letter protesting the April 2015 declaration of the OUN-UPA militias to “combatants for Ukraine’s independence,” signed by seventy prominent historians fizzled out without effect after it was immediately defamed as a product of “Russian intelligence services.” Criticism of “Foreign Policy” is all the more remarkable in that this journal unequivocally supports the pro-western putsch in Kiev.

“Soviet Propaganda”

In a furious response, Viatrovych has now responded to the criticisms – and explicitly confirmed the accusations. He alleges, for example, the OUN and UPA “did not collaborate with the Germans.” The “accusations” that they had, is “xenophobia,” the assessment that they had participated in the Holocaust and “ethnic cleansing” – referring to the murder of more than 90,000 Poles is “characteristic of Soviet propaganda.” Viatrovych continues, “there are no OUN documents” to suggest an active participation in the 1941 Jewish pogrom in Lvov following the late June 1941 German invasion. Besides, “the exact number” of the Jews, Ukrainians killed during the Holocaust “is still unidentified and is certainly no greater” than the number “other nationalities” had killed, who also collaborated in the Holocaust with the Germans.[11]

Ukraine is not the only country in a Germany-dominated Europe, where Nazi collaborators are today being honored officially. german-foreign-policy.com will soon report on other cases.

[Footnotes to articles in German removed] [1] See “Scientific Nationalists”. [2] See Between Moscow and Berlin (IV) and Honoring Collaborators. [4] Per Anders Rudling: The OUN, the UPA and the Holocaust: A Study in the Manufacturing of Historical Myths. The Carl Beck Papers in Russian and East European Studies No. 2107. Pittsburgh, November 2011. [5] John-Paul Himka: Legislating Historical Truth: Ukraine’s Laws of 9 April 2015. net.abimperio.net 21.04.2015. [6] Josh Cohen: The Historian Whitewashing Ukraine’s Past. foreignpolicy.com 02.05.2016.  [9], [10] Josh Cohen: The Historian Whitewashing Ukraine’s Past. foreignpolicy.com 02.05.2016. [11] Volodymyr Viatrovych: Real and fictional history in Ukraine’s archives. www.kyivpost.com 09.05.2016.

 

Top of the Document

BAL-EGE:160513:(16-MAY-16):The Era of Revisionism (II)

German Foreign Policy 13-May-16

 

The participation of government members at commemorations honoring Nazi collaborators has provoked controversy in Croatia. Several Croat ministers, including the minister of culture, are expected to attend tomorrow’s commemoration ceremonies for Ustasha combatants killed by Yugoslav partisans in May 1945. Croatia’s Minister of Culture promotes Ustasha commemorations – heavily frequented, since years, by Croatia’s rightwing extremist organizations – while spreading doubts about the Nazi collaborators’ crimes. There is growing approbation among Croats for a film downplaying the slaughter committed in Croatia’s Jasenovac extermination camp. The foundations for the growing prominence of Croat revisionism, accompanied by a manifestly rightwing development, were laid – with German support – at the beginning of the 1990s. Franjo Tudjman, leading politician of secessionist Croatia, at the time, had not only played down the crimes at Jasenovac, but even glorified the Ustasha. Bonn helped to impose international acceptance of Croatia’s secession under Tudjman’s leadership, thereby paving the way for the rise to power of Croatia’s extreme right.

Taboos

The controversy, centering on the commemoration ceremonies in Austria’s Bleiburg, is the most recent in Croatia’s rightwing development. From the public’s perspective, this is particularly tied in with two aspects: one being the current attempt to play down the crimes Croatia’s Nazi collaborators had committed in the Jasenovac Concentration Camp. Jasenovac was the only World War II concentration camp that was not run by Germans. Historians have evidence that between 85,000 and 100,000 people, among them 52,000 Serbs, up to 18,000 Jews and more than 16,000 Roma, had been systematically liquidated by Croat fascists. Since March, a film entitled “Jasenovac – the Truth” is being shown around Croatia, as well as in Croat expatriate communities – also in Germany. The film calculates the total number of the murdered to be between 20,000 and 40,000 and euphemizes the extermination camp as a “labor camp.” The official number of deaths, according to the documentary, is based “on communist propaganda.”[1] The film, which is arousing a growing interest among Croats, recently received a boost through praise from Croatia’s Minister of Culture. “Jasenovac – the Truth” is helpful, said Minister Zlatko Hasanbegović, because it “speaks to a series of taboos.”[2]

The Axis Powers Perspective

That Hasanbegović was appointed, January 22, Minister of Culture is also considered an expression of the country’s rightwing development. In the early 90s, Hasanbegović was active in an organization of Ustasha loyalists. In 1996, for example, he published articles in the publication “Nezavisna Država Hrvatska” (“Independent State of Croatia”), which was identical with the name of the Ustasha state founded in 1941.[3] He was also a member of the HČSP Party (Hrvatska čista stranka prava, the “Croatian Pure Party of Rights”). As a historian, Hasanbegović’s scholarly work had been concentrated on “playing down Ustasha crimes” and “taking seriously the perspective of the Axis Powers, rather than limiting the view to that of the Allies.” He alleges that this is important because current historiography is under the control of an “Israeli lobby.”[4] As the sole Muslim in the current Croat government, he is also engaged in “shedding a new light” on the Bosnian-Muslim Handshar Division of the Nazi’s Waffen SS. He considers the Handschar Division’s assistant Imam, Husein Djozo, to be one of the “Bosnian Muslims’ most remarkable and interesting personalities.”

Culture War

A while ago, Hasanbegović had suggested a reduction of state finances for the annual commemoration activities in Jasenovac. He, simultaneously, began to take part in commemoration festivities in Bleiburg, Austria, where Croatian right-wingers annually hold memorial ceremonies for the Ustasha combatants and other Nazi collaborators, killed in May 1945 by Yugoslav partisans. While the minister of culture is now praising the euphemization of crimes committed in Jasenovac, Croatia’s parliament has passed a bill to provide financial support to the Bleiburg memorial events. Alongside the chair of the governing HDZ Party, Tomislav Karamarko, several ministers and possibly even Prime Minister Tihomir Orešković are expected to attend tomorrow’s (Saturday’s) event. Observers refer to a “culture war” – an attempt to systematically push the political spectrum to the right to lay the groundwork for an eventual assault on the country’s liberal democracy.[5]

Obstetrics

This rightwing development currently making headway in Croatia had, in fact, been launched back at the beginning of the 1990s. The militarily induced collapse of Yugoslavia, at the time, permitted the far right in Croatia to take over the top leadership positions in the newly formed state. The Federal Republic of Germany had performed the obstetrics by supporting the ultra-rightwing Croat separatists long before the developments in the 1990s had even begun. By breaking up Yugoslavia, Bonn sought to weaken Belgrade’s potential resistance to Germany’s policies toward southeast Europe. The victors of World War I had a reason for planning the creation of Yugoslavia. With this proficient state, they had hoped to hinder new German forays into the Southeastern Europe. In its promotion of Croatian separatism, Bonn was also shoring up the future president Franjo Tudjman (german-foreign-policy.com reported [6]) – in spite of his euphemization of the Jasenovac extermination camp, as a “transit and labor camp,” in which, at most, “30,000 – 40,000 prisoners died.” Tudjman also venerated the Ustasha state of the Croat Nazi collaborators, as a glorious “expression of the Croatian people’s quest for independence and sovereignty.”[7] In spite of British-French warnings of an escalation of the war, the German government surged ahead to recognize the Croatian state, December 23, 1991. Those who benefited most were the strongest and most resolute faction of the separatists under Tudjman’s leadership.

Socially Acceptable

Years ago, Gregor Mayer impressively described the – predictable – resulting development on Croatia’s society, once, with Bonn’s help, the far-right was reinforced in Zagreb. Already during in the secessionist war, the “frontline soldiers and volunteers (…) were greeting each other with the Ustasha’s ‘Za Dom Spremni!’ (‘For the Fatherland, Ready!’)” and singing Ustasha songs.[8] Under Tudjman’s leadership, “streets and squares were renamed in rapid succession” – often given names of Ustasha leaders, such as the “Nazi ideologue, Mile Budak.” “Ustasha functionaries returning from emigration, seeped into state administrations and educational systems,” Mayer reports. Even the Catholic Church was glorifying the Ustasha. Ustasha leader Ante Pavelic’s “only mistake” was that he “allowed the Croatian state to disappear,” was said during a mass in downtown Zagreb.[9] “The ‘cleansing’ and piecing together of the country’s history was also taking place in schoolbooks, and becoming firmly anchored in broad sectors of Croatia’s population,” Mayer notes. The “manipulations carried out by the founding fathers” have created “a ‘socially acceptable’ image of the history and society” that “radical right-wingers and neo-Nazis can still refer to.” Germany had supported Tudjman – in its efforts to form Europe along the lines of its hegemonic plans.

For more on this topic see The Era of Revisionism (I).

[Footnotes to articles in German removed]  [3] Minister says photo yet another attempt to vilify him. about.hr 10.02.2016.  [5] Paul Hockenos: Croatia’s Far Right Weaponizes the Past. foreignpolicy.com 06.05.2016.

 

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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
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End Time Prophecies are interpreted using the Bible, not man made ideas or notions.
Key Biblical subjects such as the Trinity, Devil/Satan worship, Holy Spirit Gifts & much more are all dealt with extensively from the Bible’s viewpoint and not man’s.We will demonstrate how Christian beliefs have become corrupted, and reveal the ‘Truth’ as taught by the 1st Century Apostles.

 

BREXIT 002

16 May: Referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union -Image of official Brexit Voting Notification Card – Wasted on me!

 

 

 A little bit of history in the making …..

Referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union

 Today, (as i am an occupant of the United Kingdom), I received the official notification (Poll Card) informing me that i am entitled to vote on the ‘BREXIT’.

 Sorry to disappoint, I am with Abraham on this one….

The Faith of Abraham

(; )

Heb 11:8 – By faith Abraham, when he was called to go out into a place which he should after receive for an inheritance, obeyed; and he went out, not knowing whither he went. By faith he sojourned in the land of promise, as in a strange country, dwelling in tabernacles with Isaac and Jacob, the heirs with him of the same promise: For he looked for a city which hath foundations, whose builder and maker is God.

 Heb 11: 13 – These all died in faith, not having received the promises, but having seen them afar off, and were persuaded of them, and embraced them, and confessed that they were strangers and pilgrims on the earth. For they that say such things declare plainly that they seek a country. And truly, if they had been mindful of that country from whence they came out, they might have had opportunity to have returned. But now they desire a better country, that is, an heavenly: wherefore God is not ashamed to be called their God: for he hath prepared for them a city.

 Heb 13:14 – ‘For here have we no continuing city, but we seek one to come.’

 The Angels are at work and what ever happens in the vote, I for one am convinced that God is in control of the affairs of men and whether we are ‘in’ or ‘out’ will matter not – for God’s will , will be performed

 Daniel 4: 17 – This matter is by the decree of the watchers, and the demand by the word of the holy ones: to the intent that the living may know that the most High ruleth in the kingdom of men, and giveth it to whomsoever he will, and setteth up over it the basest of men.

Psalm 108:20

Bless the LORD, ye his angels, that excel in strength, that do his commandments, hearkening unto the voice of his word. Bless ye the LORD, all ye his hosts; ye ministers of his, that do his pleasure. Bless the LORD, all his works in all places of his dominion: bless the LORD, O my soul. 

For those of you outside the UK, in case you are wondering what this card looks like … here it is…Somewhat ironic that it is in a CHURCH!!!!

BREXIT 002

EPSON MFP image

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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
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End Time Prophecies are interpreted using the Bible, not man made ideas or notions.
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Milestones to the Kingdom

14 May: Don Pearce’s News Snippets – 6-13th May 2016

In association with Bro Don Pearce (Rugby UK)  Keep up to date with Bro Don’s Snippets – Email Don at [email protected]  Just put in the subject line ‘Snippets Request’ state if you would prefer word doc or pdf format. ( If not stated, both will be sent as samples so you can decide) It’s that easy!

Here is the latest Snippets…

UK:160506:(13-MAY-16):First fracked gas could hit UK market in 2017 – Cuadrilla

Reuters 06-May-16

 

First supplies of shale gas, extracted using the unconventional fracking process, could enter the British gas market as early as mid-2017, the head of shale gas firm Cuadrilla Resources told Reuters on Friday.

Britain is estimated to have substantial amounts of shale gas trapped in underground rocks and Prime Minister David Cameron has pledged to go all out to extract those reserves to help offset declining North Sea oil and gas output.

But progress has been slow as applications for shale gas projects have been held up at local government level where they have faced vocal opposition from environmental campaigners.

Cuadrilla initially wants to carry out fracking — which injects water, sand and chemicals into rock formations to release shale gas — at two sites in northwest England.

It hopes to get government approval to start operations at the sites before August.

“If we get good results from the wells … gas could go into the system next year,” said Francis Egan, chief executive of Cuadrilla, 46 percent owned by Australian engineer AJ Lucas (AJL.AX).

Gas flows from initial testing would be small but Egan said full production could start in 2018 if necessary permits are obtained.

Lancashire Council last year rejected Cuadrilla applications for fracking at the sites, underscoring local community concerns about the technique.

However, Britain has since changed planning rules to allow government intervention to approve or reject shale gas drilling permits and give priority to appeals involving the projects.

A planning inspector is expected to make recommendations on Cuadrilla’s Lancashire applications to local government minister Greg Clark by July 4 and he will then make the final decision.

Egan said he is confident the project will be approved since the government has voiced strong support for the technology, while the local authority had previously received legal advice to approve one of the applications.

The government hopes a shale gas boom will help generate jobs in the oil and gas industry which has been hard hit by a 60 percent slump in oil and gas prices in the last two years.

Gas prices in Britain remain higher than in the United States, where shale gas drillers are under severe strain from the energy market downturn.

Egan said the skills needed for fracking are broadly the same as those used in conventional gas.

“With the general environment and where the North Sea industry is going we are determined as ever to press on and secure a new gas source,” he said.

Cuadrilla expects to be able to secure service contracts much more cheaply than previously expected as it benefits from discounts due to weak demand.

Egan estimated industry services would likely be 30-40 percent cheaper than before the oil slump.

 

Top of the Document

EGE-EU:160506:(13-MAY-16):Germany Calls for a European Army

The Trumpet 06-May-16

 

Germany wants Europe to cooperate more on its military, according to a government paper leaked to the Süddeutsche Zeitung and the Financial Times. “In effect, the leaked draft says that Germany wants the formation of a European army,” wrote Geopolitical Futures.

The Financial Times described the paper’s proposals in an article titled “Germany to Push for Progress Toward European Army” by Alex Barker and Stefan Wagstyl: Germany is to push for progress towards a European army by advocating a joint headquarters and shared military assets, according to defense plans that could ricochet into Britain’s EU referendum campaign.

Although Berlin has long paid lip service to forming a “European defense union,” the white paper is one of the most significant for Germany in recent years and may be seized by anti-integration Brexit campaigners as a sign where the bloc is heading.

They explained that the report was scheduled to be published after the British referendum, as the idea of a European army is unpopular in the United Kingdom. Their article continues: In this and other areas, its tone reflects Germany’s growing clout and confidence in pursuing a foreign policy backed by elements of hard power. Initiatives range from strengthening cyberwarfare abilities to contentious proposals to relax the postwar restrictions on army operations within Germany.

“German security policy has relevance—also far beyond our country,” the paper states. “Germany is willing to join early, decisively and substantially as a driving force in international debates … to take responsibility and assume leadership.”

Jan Techau, a former defense official at Carnegie Europe, said: “This is the time of a new Germany. This is probably the first time a German defense white paper is something like important.” …

At the European level, the paper calls for “the use of all possibilities” available under EU treaties to establish deep cooperation between willing member states, create a joint civil-military headquarters for EU operations, a council of defense ministers, and better coordinate the production and sharing of military equipment. …

Resistance to serious defense integration is well entrenched in many EU states and has hobbled efforts to make meaningful progress in common defense. … However, about 37 EU security missions have been launched since 2003, including recent operations in Mali and against piracy. If vigorously pursued in Brussels, Germany’s call for joint civil military headquarters would be an important step in enhancing the bloc’s capabilities and ambitions. Geopolitical Futures notes that much of the reason for this, comes from America:

That Germany would push for such a move is in line with a number of dynamics that have developed in recent months. The most important of these has been the U.S. putting substantial pressure on the Europeans to shoulder more of the defense burden in Europe. At the center of that conversation is nato. Many ridiculed Donald Trump when he called nato “obsolete” in March and said the U.S. was paying too much to the military alliance, but in that particular case Trump touched a very raw nerve. … The Germans may now be saying that nato is not the most effective way for Europe to defend itself. The suggestion is that a new military alliance may be necessary to fix the one that isn’t working.

Germany is taking U.S. pressure seriously from a public relations viewpoint. Besides these most recent leaks, federal budget proposals in Germany for 2017 released on March 23 showed an additional €1.7 billion ($1.95 billion) that would be spent on defense in Germany for 2017. But even though Germany has said that it will increase defense spending, and even with a 6.8 percent planned increase for 2016, Germany still spends well below the 2 percent of gdp threshold that all nato members are supposed to spend on their military budgets. The Germans feel the pressure from the U.S. and are responding with token measures, hoping that at least showing that they accept U.S. concerns will help maintain the relationship. The paper does not detail who would pay for this military, or how decisions are made, so other important steps are still needed. But it shows a marked change in Germany that the nation is now willing to openly take the lead in forming an army. Germany has also been working with its neighbors and is planning to create a multinational panzer division next year.

 

Top of the Document

RU:160506:(13-MAY-16):Russia Creates Three New Military Divisions to Counter NATO

The Trumpet 06-May-16

 

Russia is creating three new military divisions to counter the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s planned expansion into Poland and the Baltic states, according to remarks from Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu on Wednesday. These three divisions would represent around 30,000 troops, but it is still unclear whether or not the units would be created from scratch or restructured from existing military forces.

In a Reuters news article, Dmitry Solovyov and Lidia Kelly wrote:

Russia will reinforce its western and southern flanks with three new divisions by the year-end, officials said on Wednesday, threatening retaliation to nato’s plans to boost its military presence in eastern members Poland and the Baltic states.

While Moscow accuses the Western alliance of threatening … Russia’s security, nato says intensified military drills and its plans for increased deployments on its eastern flank are purely defensive after Russia annexed Ukraine’s Crimea in 2014 and backed separatist rebels in Ukraine. U.S. Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said on Monday nato was weighing up rotating four battalions of troops through eastern member states amid rising tension in the Baltic.

Russia has scrambled jets to intercept U.S. reconnaissance planes in recent weeks and made simulated attack passes near a U.S. warship in the Baltic Sea.

The nations of Eastern Europe are growing increasingly concerned about Russian aggression. The United States did nothing to stop Russia’s annexation of Crimea and has responded weakly to Russia’s provocative behavior toward U.S. ships in the Baltic Sea. As Russia builds up its military forces along its western flank, these Eastern European nations are warming to the idea of a united European military force capable of defending them from the aggressive foreign policy of Vladimir Putin.

 

Top of the Document

CV-EU:160506:(13-MAY-16):Pope seeks to renew European dream as he accepts unity prize

AP 06-May-16

 

Pope Francis, accepting a prize for promoting European unity, on Friday warned Europeans against the selfish temptation to put up fences to ward off newcomers, saying he still dreams of a Europe where migrants are welcomed.

“I dream of a Europe where being a migrant is not a crime, but a summons to a greater commitment on behalf of the dignity of every human being,” he told an audience including German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Italian Premier Matteo Renzi and Spain’s King Felipe VI.

“I dream of a Europe that promotes and protects the rights of everyone, without neglecting its duties toward all. I dream of a Europe of which it will not be said that its commitment to human rights was its last utopia.”

The pontiff, the son of European immigrants to Argentina, accepted the prestigious International Charlemagne Prize, for his “message of hope and encouragement.”

 

Top of the Document

UK-EU:160507:(13-MAY-16):Never mind Brexit risks – to stay in EU is a bigger danger

Daily Telegraph 07-May-16

 

‘No big institutions back Brexit,” a fellow journalist barked in my face at a drinks party last week.

As I tried to respond, the point was repeated, this time more aggressively. “No big institutions want Brexit – not the CBI, the big banks or accountancy firms, they all think it’s mad.”

With less than seven weeks until the UK’s referendum on European Union membership, the rhetorical battle-lines are drawn.

The main strategy of the Government and broader Remain camp is “Project Fear” – scaring ordinary voters they’ll be thousands of pounds poorer each year if we leave.

Such psychological bombardment – presenting self-serving and deeply dubious forecasts as “fact” – will continue all the way to June 23.

Then there are the various sub-narratives – pithy phrases, again relentlessly repeated, designed to convey the impression they seal the argument.

“The big institutions all reject Brexit,” is one, of course. “Denying the free movement of people shows intolerance” is another, combining the unspoken yet potent accusation of racism.

“Brexit would spark a repeat Scottish referendum, splitting the UK” works well on patriotic-yet-undecided voters.

“No one knows what Brexit looks like – let’s stay with what we know,” is also often used, appealing to the UK’s inherent conservatism.

“The EU administered by a cabal of highly-paid, yet blinkered and deeply anti-commercial bureaucrats who are not only unaccountable to voters, but also in cahoots with out-of-touch political leaders”

All of these statements, far from decisive, are eminently questionable or wrong. Presented as unshakeable truths, they actually fall to pieces when countered with knowledge and just a few moments’ thought.

A slew of bad survey data struck the UK last week. Our construction industry just suffered its worst month in three years, managing only slight growth in April. Manufacturing actually contracted, amid falling export orders and a lack of domestic demand for consumer goods.

On top of that, the UK service sector, accounting for almost four-fifths of our economy, recorded its weakest performance since February 2013. These disappointing figures were widely blamed on “uncertainty over the EU referendum”.

No matter that the US economy is struggling, European banks are shaky or UK manufacturing has for several years been on a downward trend.

No matter that trade is slowing markedly right across the globe or that investors everywhere, from Asia to the Americas, are now openly questioning, with increasing alarm, how the world’s big central banks can maintain their Indian rope trick of using printed money to rig bonds markets by buying their own government debt.

There are many, many reasons why the UK economy remains skittish and the global recovery extremely patchy – and almost all of them predate not only this referendum campaign but even the announcement the UK electorate was to be given its first say on our relationship with Europe since the mid-1970s.

Yet, while real investors fret about the prospect of another sub-prime style meltdown, a lack of genuine banking reform, the implosion of the eurozone, the lunacy that is negative nominal interest rates and now, we’re told, “helicopter money” – a kind of quantitative easing on steroids – it suits a wide variety of political and financial interests to blame every blip in the British and broader European economy on “the prospect of Brexit”.

And all that, of course, feeds nicely into “Project Fear”.  I respect many economists and politicians I know campaigning for the UK to stay in the EU. There’s a respectable case to be made – one with which I disagree.

What is unforgivable, though, is the repeated use of rhetorical barbs and misrepresentations to browbeat the public into voting for what they think is the status quo.  I’ve tackled the recent “research” reports published by the Treasury and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development in previous columns.

Both use twisted assumptions to generate scary headlines, warning households how much they’ll lose from Brexit. Both also assume the broader EU, whether the UK stays or not, grows steadily over the next ten years, continuing in its present form, avoiding even the slightest hiccup. What nonsense.

Just last week, Moody’s warned the EU faces “significant vulnerabilities” that have noting to do with Brexit.

European economic stagnation and the biggest influx of refugees in half a century have, the ratings agency said, created “the impression the question is when the system breaks, not if”.  The EU’s “direction of travel” towards ever-greater integration, Moody’s concluded, “does not imply stability”.

The Greek debt crisis rumbles on, the bankrupt eurozone member having received over €21bn (£17bn) of its original €86bn bail-out now once again at loggerheads with official creditors. With a majority of just three seats, the Greek government is hanging by a thread.

Another bust-up could easily send bond-yields soaring, spreading financial contagion across the eurozone and beyond.

If Greece could upend the EU, just think of the fall-out from a banking meltdown in Italy. Italian bank stocks have lost a third of their value this year, on fears over €360bn of bad loans – equivalent to an astonishing 20pc of GDP.

In the midst of a chronic debt crisis, Italy is on the verge of a banking collapse which, given the size of the economy, the European Central Bank may find impossible to contain.

We’re often told about the risks of leaving the EU. How about the risks of staying?

It’s hardly surprising “all big institutions reject Brexit”. Multi-lateral bodies like the IMF and OECD are deeply politicised organisations and Remain is the choice of the political establishment.

The same institutions said the UK should join the euro. They said, in the run-up to the sub-prime crisis, that the big banks were safe.  The Confederation of British Industry and the accountancy firms – they follow the whim of the big international businesses that fund them and which can influence and cope with the EU’s regulatory thickets, knowing they prevent smaller firms from mounting a challenge.

The big banks themselves also back the European project, of course, the same European project that’s done nothing significantly to reform them, or prevent them benefiting from too-big-to-fail status and the exercise of raw marker power.

Luckily, banks and institutions don’t vote. But people do.  Control of our borders? Yes please, and only Brexit can make it happen.

The US, Australia and Canada have vibrant, economically-vital immigrant cultures and they put limits on numbers entering each year.

Such controls, decided by elected politicians, provide reassurance and keep immigration manageable, so increasing the public’s tolerance. Today’s EU-imposed lack of controls in the UK, tragically, is doing precisely the opposite.

And I very much doubt, given how oil price volatility has destroyed an already flimsy economic case for Scottish independence, that the SNP will be calling a new referendum any time soon. Not least because they’d lose.

Of course, we don’t know what Brexit looks like in ten years’ time. But we don’t know what EU membership looks like either.

I do know that, if we vote to leave, a powerful country like the UK will be well-placed to continue trading with the EU, given World Trade Organization rules, potential European Economic Area membership and our £60bn annual EU trade deficit.

I know the EU is showing signs of unavoidable and on-going crisis.  I also know it’s administered by a cabal of highly-paid, yet blinkered and deeply anti-commercial bureaucrats who are not only unaccountable to voters, but also in cahoots with out-of-touch political leaders harbouring an unworkable and ultimately incendiary vision of “European political union”.

I know, in addition, that almost all British voters and the majority of people elsewhere

 

across the EU want nothing to do with that – and actually want to stop it. And I suspect that only the UK can make that happen.

 

Top of the Document

MAR-MSY-RU:160509:(13-MAY-16):Syrian Group Accuses Russia of Building Permanent Base

Int. Chr. Emb. Jerusalem 09-May-16

 

Analysts weigh in on risks and highlights

A Syrian opposition group issued a statement Sunday accusing Russia of setting up a permanent military base in Palmyra, an ancient city recently retaken from the Islamic State (IS) terror militia. In related news, Turkish artillery units reportedly pounded IS positions in northern Syria over the weekend, killing dozens of terrorists, according to Turkish state media. At the same time, the Turkish air force carried out heavy strikes on Kurdish Workers Party positions in neighboring Iraq.

In related news, UN envoy Jan Kubis told the Security Council Friday that IS has committed “heinous crimes” in Iraq, citing evidence of mass graves uncovered in recently liberated territory previously held by IS.

 

Top of the Document

UK-EU:160509:(13-MAY-16):EU: Poll Shows Many Europeans Would Vote To Leave Bloc

Stratfor 09-May-16

 

An Ipsos-Mori survey published May 9 showed nearly half of Italians and approximately 40 percent of the French and Swedish populations would vote to leave the European Union if their countries held referendums on the issue, according to the official Ipsos-Mori website. The poll highlights contradictions within the Continental bloc. For example, France’s government is allegedly working on a plan for further EU integration, while at the same time one in four people in the country say they would vote to leave the European Union. The survey also found about half of Europeans believe Britain will vote to leave the European Union during a referendum June 23.

 

Top of the Document

IS-MJO:160509:(13-MAY-16):Significant Progress in Financing the Project to Link the Dead Sea and the Red Sea

(Communicated by the [Israeli] Regional Cooperation Ministry Media Adviser) 09-May-16

 

The partner countries the project to link the Dead Sea and the Red Sea, today (Monday, 9 May 2016), at a conference in Aqaba, presented the project to potential donors, led by the US and the World Bank, ahead of its launch. Israel was represented by a Regional Cooperation Ministry delegation led by Deputy Minister Ayoub Kara, Director General Hashem Hussein and project administration director Maya Eldar.

A draft timetable for implementing the project was presented, including the anticipated costs to Israel and Jordan as well as the idea of stabilizing the level of the Dead Sea, the production of desalinated water for Israel and Jordan, and the strengthening of bilateral cooperation and cooperation with donor countries and international bodies.

Also presented was the second stage of the project including increased quantities of water. This stage will be implemented subject to a decision by the partner countries in the wake of an environmental impact analysis of the first stage.

It will be recalled that an MOU on the project was signed in Washington in December 2013. The US administration decided to invest $100 million in financing the project. Ninety-four companies recently purchased the forms regarding a preliminary tender.

Deputy Regional Cooperation Minister Kara said, “This is a very significant joint civilian project between Israel and Jordan that will improve the lives of peoples in the region and is therefore deserving of the donor countries’ support.”

Regional Cooperation Ministry Director General Hussein emphasized the importance of the project to both sides and to the Palestinians given strategic importance of water shortages in the region. He noted that among the other projects discussed today was one to rehabilitate the southern Jordan River with the assistance of the World Bank.

 

Top of the Document

CV:160509:(13-MAY-16):Francis, Pope. More Infallible Than He There Is None

Chiesa  09-May-16

 

He displays a willingness to reconsider the dogma of infallibility. But in reality he is vesting full power in himself much more than his immediate predecessors did. And he is acting as an absolute monarch

by Sandro Magister

There was an uproar in recent days over the announcement by the theologian Hans Küng that Pope Francis has given an effective green light to “an unrestricted discussion of the dogma of infallibility”:

> Fr. Hans Küng says Francis responded to request for free discussion on infallibility dogma

But curiously, to the contrary of what one might have expected, Küng did not make public the letter that the pope wrote to him in response to one of his previous appeals. He only described it. Perhaps because the letter was not as affirmative as he would like to have believed.

Francis, in fact, turns out to be anything but a pushover when he asserts his papal authority as “supreme, full, immediate, and universal,” both in governing and in teaching.

On the contrary, he is certainly the pontiff who over the past half century has exalted more than any other this supreme authority, not only over the Catholic Church but over all of Christendom, citing in support of this none other than the 1870 dogmatic constitution “Pastor Aeternus” of Vatican Council I, which proclaimed the pope’s infallibility “ex cathedra.”

But first things first.

Küng’s appeal to Pope Francis came out simultaneously in multiple languages last March 9 in various newspapers around the world, for example in Italy in “la Repubblica,” the country’s most important secular and progressive newspaper, ultra-Bergoglian:

> Aboliamo l’infallibilità del papa

No surprise there. Küng has spent a lifetime trying to demolish the dogma of papal infallibility. The process that concluded in 1979 with the revocation of his license to teach Catholic theology was prompted by two of his books from about ten years before, entitled: “The Church” and “Infallible? A Question.”

And it was the whole body of essays that he has written on the topic, collected in the fifth volume of his complete works being published this year in Germany, which provided the cue for him to ask Pope Francis publicly for the opening of “a free, unprejudiced and open-ended discussion in our church of the all the unresolved and suppressed questions connected with the infallibility dogma.”

Küng sent the appeal personally to the pope by letter, in Spanish. And shortly after Easter he received at his home in Tübingen, through the nunciature in Berlin, the  letter in reply, dated March 20.

The pope’s letter began with a friendly “Lieber Mitbruder,” dear brother, and was written by hand. But these remain the only words cited by Küng in quotation marks in reporting the content of the missive. It is unclear to what extent the rest of it might correspond to the narrative presented by the theologian.

Because it is true that Pope Francis can be relied on to issue exhortations to discuss everything, even the most delicate topics. But it is also his established habit to alternate these “openings” of his with reaffirmations of traditional doctrine, with that continual and never definitive “stop and go” which characterizes his magisterium.

On the dogma of infallibility, however, there is no comparison between his feeble and hesitant support for the reconsideration of the dogma on the one hand and on the other the powerful, thundering proclamation of his own supreme authority that he has made more than once, and always on occasions of great significance.

The key occasions have been two in particular.

The first was the closing speech for the turbulent first session of the synod on the family, October 14, 2014:

> “With a heart…”

Visibly irritated over the development of the synod, far below his reformist expectations, Pope Francis made it clear to the bishops and cardinals that in any case the last word would rest with him, as “supreme pastor and teacher of the faithful,” endowed with “supreme, full, immediate, and universal authority.” Both of these formulations are taken from the code of canon law, precisely that juridical structure of the Church which he doesn’t like but which this time he found it convenient to lean on.

To avoid any misunderstanding, Francis also reiterated to the synod fathers that “the synod takes place ‘cum Petro et sub Petro’,” not only “with” but also “under” the successor of Peter.

The second key occasion was one year later, halfway through the second session of the synod on the family, this too a disappointment for him:

> “As the Ordinary General Assembly…”

It was October 17, 2015, the fiftieth anniversary of the institution of the synod of bishops, and the commemoration gave the pope his cue to describe the dynamics of a synod this way:

“The Synod process begins by listening to the people of God. [. . .] It then continues by listening to the pastors. [. . .] The Synod process culminates in listening to the Bishop of Rome, who is called to speak as ‘pastor and teacher of all Christians’.”

Attention. Here Francis did not cite again, as he did a year before, canon 749 of the code of canon law, which proclaims the authority of the pope over the “christifideles,” meaning the “faithful” belonging to the Catholic Church.

This time he took the citation from the dogmatic constitution “Pastor Aeternus” of Vatican Council I, in which the authority of the pope is extended to “all Christians,” meaning in theory also to Protestants, Orthodox, Evangelicals, to the whole sphere of the baptized called to make their way back to the one Church.

And that of the pope is an authority as “pastor” and also as “teacher” which, in the same paragraph of “Pastor Aeternus,” is proclaimed as “infallible,” specifying in what sense and within what limits. Immediately followed by the “anathema sit” typical of every dogmatic definition:

“If anyone therefore may have the presumption to oppose, God forbid, this definition of ours: let him be anathema.”

It must be noted that Vatican Council II as well, in the dogmatic constitution “Lumen Gentium,” at no. 25, in reaffirming the pope’s “supreme and full power over the universal Church” and his “infallibility . . . as the supreme shepherd and teacher of all the faithful,” also cites “Pastor Aeternus” of Vatican Council I, the bane of Küng and his ilk:

> Lumen gentium

But it stops one step short of what Francis has instead done, extending the pope’s infallible magisterium not only to the Catholic faithful but to “all Christians.”

In his speech of October 17, 2015 Francis then continued by insisting on the “sub Petro” with even more vigor than he did the year before:

“The fact that the Synod always acts cum Petro et sub Petro — indeed, not only cum Petro, but also sub Petro — is not a limitation of freedom, but a guarantee of unity.”

And it can be presumed that he already had in mind what he would write in the post-synodal exhortation “Amoris Lætitia,” availing himself of his own supreme authority in order to proceed well beyond where the synod was prepared to go.

_____________

In the Latin text of “Pastor Aeternus” as presented in “Denzinger,” the citation made by Pope Francis in the speech of October 17, 2015 is taken from paragraph 3074, the one in which the pope’s infallibility “ex cathedra” is defined:

> Constitutio dogmatica “Pastor aeternus” de Ecclesia Christi

__________

The February 15, 1975 declaration of the congregation for the doctrine of the faith concerning the books by Hans Küng “The Church” and “Infallible? A Question”:

> Declaration…

The previous declaration of June 24, 1973 in defense of the dogma of infallibility brought into question by Küng, who however is not named in it:

> Mysterium Ecclesiae

And the declaration of December 15, 1979 in which Küng’s license to teach as a Catholic theologian is revoked:

> Declaration…

__________

In presenting last May 3 in Madrid, at the Universidad Francisco de Victoria, his latest book “Informe sobre la esperanza,” Cardinal Gerhard L. Müller, prefect of the congregation for the doctrine of the faith, forcefully criticized Küng’s attacks against the dogma of infallibility:

> El prefecto de doctrina de la fe niega la posibilidad de comulgar a los divorciados recasados

Infallibility, Müller said, is the “treasure and essence of Catholic ecclesiology.” So Küng “cannot say that he feels justified by the pope.”

“Neither his Christology nor his ecclesiology is Catholic,” the cardinal added. Küng “does not believe in the divinity of Christ and in the Most Holy Trinity.”

__________

English translation by Matthew Sherry, Ballwin, Missouri, U.S.A.

 

Top of the Document

RU:160512:(13-MAY-16):Russia’s military might: Putin’s foreign policy in numbers

CNN  12-May-16

 

For the tens of thousands of spectators who cheered on Russia’s spectacular officially commemorates the Soviet Union’s victory over Nazi Germany in World War II, it is also an opportunity for the Kremlin to show-off its modern day military might.

Throughout the morning the latest T-14 tanks trundled into Moscow’s Red Square, while supersonic jets roared overhead.

The awesome parade comes at a time when Russia’s military is perhaps more powerful than at any time since the Cold War.

Modernized military

Over the past decade, billions have been spent modernizing and retraining a lumbering fighting force inherited from the Soviet Union.

Huge investments have been made in a new generation of nuclear missiles, tanks, and fighter jets. Even the military’s uniforms have been given a slick new makeover.

The centerpiece is Russia’s vast nuclear arsenal, recently updated with intercontinental ballistic missiles designed to counter the U.S. missile shield.

It also has world-class anti-aircraft systems and fighter jets recently deployed, with devastating effect, to Syria.

Ramped-up foreign deployment

But what makes Russia such a formidable military power is not simply its weaponry — but a new willingness to deploy it internationally.

Whether it be the five-day , or most recently

Indeed, even after his country waded deeper into Syria’s civil war, Putin enjoyed an approval rating of 82%, according to the

And with oil prices remaining low, it’s possible we’ll see further cuts to Russian defense spending in the future.

One thing that doesn’t seem to be dropping any time soon, is support for the military among the public.

 

Top of the Document

EGE-EU:160511:(13-MAY-16):The Wars of the Near Future (I)

German Foreign Policy 11-May-16

 

For the first time since 1990, the Bundeswehr will be increased in size, provided new capabilities and have its budget massively expanded. This was announced by Germany’s Minister of Defense, Ursula von der Leyen. According to her announcement, from now on, the German military’s “human resources” will be flexibly determined. For now, an additional 14,300 military personnel and 4,400 civilians will be added by 2023. The military budget, which, in 2000, was still at 23 billion Euros, will be increased to 39.2 billion by 2020. This is the materialization of Berlin’s geopolitical ambitions, which have been massively propagated since the fall of 2013, with the energetic participation of Germany’s President, who has repeatedly called for a more offensive German global policy with the inclusion of its military. In the process, Germany aims to take control of a ring of countries bordering on Europe – some, rich in natural resources – that can constitute, above all, a “cordon sanitaire” designed to shield the prosperous European empire from all sorts of problems. Because the EU’s original plans to use political-economic means to dominate this ring of states have proven unsuccessful, the German government is now turning to an open show of military force.

Turning Point

For the first time since 1990, the Bundeswehr will be increased in size. As announced by Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen, yesterday, Monday, the current personnel ceiling for the armed forces (185,000 military and 56,000 civilian employees) has been repealed. From now on, “human resources,” which will grow, due to an increasing number of military missions, will be “annually determined for the medium-range.” A new “Personnel Board” will be established under the direction of the two State Secretaries for Defense (Gerd Hoofe, Katrin Suder) and the Bundeswehr Inspector-General (Volker Wieker). The “turning point for personnel” will be introduced already next year, starting with the creation of 7,000 new military assignments, von der Leyen declared. According to the current “medium-range” planning around 14,300 additional soldiers and about 4,400 additional civilian employees will be needed by 2023 – representing a nearly eight percent increase. An supplementary “internal optimization” of “structures and processes” within the troops should facilitate an enhancement of the armed forces’ “impact potential.” The objective is “to increase the Bundeswehr’s perseverance capacity, strengthen its sturdiness and develop new capabilities,” the minister explained.[1]

Billions

To enhance “the Bundeswehr’s capabilities” in this sense, von der Leyen plans 96 “separate measures,”[2] including the creation of an independent branch of the service specializing in cyber warfare. For this, highly qualified IT specialists will be recruited. Furthermore, “Special Forces in the infantry and the navy” will be reinforced, as well as new “boarding companies” being assigned to the sea battalions for combat in coastal regions.[3] The “capacities for the management of more extensive weapons projects” must be expanded, along with an enhancement of the Bundeswehr’s medical units – both at home and abroad. All this is tied in with a massive military budget increase. Whereas the German military budget, with 33 billion Euros in 2015, was already 40 percent more than the budget in 2000 (€23.1 billion), it is now scheduled to swell even further. Already for 2017, €36.6 billion have been planned; by 2020, the Bundeswehr is supposed to dispose of €39.2 billion, which, along with the growth in the number of personnel, will also finance numerous weapons projects. In January, the defense minister had already announced that, by 2030, she wants to spend around €130 billion to procure new weaponry – twice the amount originally planned.[4]

Dialogue Downward

The increase in Bundeswehr personnel and the multibillion weapons programs comply with Berlin’s expansive geopolitical ambitions, which, since the fall of 2013, have been propagated offensively and at times even like a crusade. In his speech on the occasion of the German National Holiday in 2013, Germany’s President Joachim Gauck admonished that Germany must show “a stronger commitment in international affairs” and contribute more to the “solution” of global – even military – conflicts.[5] Berlin must show a “more resolute” presence on the world stage, to globally “shape … the governance framework,” repeated Gauck at the Munich Security Conference, in late January 2014, which may “also include sending soldiers.”[6] A few days earlier, Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier and Defense Minister von der Leyen had made similar statements. Germany is “too important to merely comment on global policy from the sidelines,” said Steinmeier, while von der Leyen declared, “indifference” is “not an option for a country like Germany.”[7] Most recently, the Federal College for Security Studies (BAKS) announced that the debate on Berlin’s geopolitical activities will engage “the broader public” even more strongly than had previously been the case.[8] BAKS has announced that new measures to integrate journalists have been planned.[9]

A Ring around Europe

German policy strategists’ plans clearly suggest which regions of the world Berlin’s global ambitions will require ever more extensive military operations in the years to come. For example, a strategy paper, published in October 2013, the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) proposed – in reference to the United States’ intensifying focus on the power struggle with China – that, “to relieve” the USA, Germany “should primarily concentrate on the increasingly instable periphery of Europe extending from North Africa to the Middle East to Central Asia.” This would also necessitate “military interventions.”[10] Similar proposals were made in an intervention in the debate on the new “White Paper” of the Bundeswehr. An “arc of crisis,” stretching “from the Baltic, through the Middle East to the Maghreb” surrounds Germany and Europe – and this is “why we have an armed forces.”[11] Some of the countries making up this arch of crisis are the countries Berlin and Brussels want to have as suppliers of raw materials and serve as markets in a neo-colonialist manner – the oil-rich countries of North Africa and the Middle East. Some of these should be controlled to create a “cordon sanitaire” preventing the entry of refugees, as well as to armed attacks inside the EU and against European interests (Mali, Libya and Syria).

War Rather than Policy

In reference to the current “arc of crisis,” the “European Security Strategy” adopted in Brussels in December 2003, stated: “Our task is to promote a ring of well governed countries to the East of the European Union and on the borders of the Mediterranean with whom we can enjoy close and cooperative relations” – a rampart of controllable, stable client states surrounding a prosperous EU.[12] This objective has been completely missed, concluded Wolfgang Ischinger, Chairman of the Munich Security Conference at the beginning of this year. The “vision of a European Union that would be surrounded by a cordon sanitaire of stability, growing prosperity and cooperation south of the Mediterranean and in Eastern Europe,” has “completely failed.”[13] To shield the German-European empire from all sorts of problems and facilitate economic access to interesting neighboring regions, soldiers are now being deployed in the respective countries, ranging from Mali and Syria to Iraq – for the wars of the near future.

How the Bundeswehr is preparing for the wars of the near future by growing larger, restructuration, and rearmament, can be read in an intermittent succession of articles over the next few weeks in german-foreign-policy.com.

[Footnotes to articles in German removed] [1], [5] See Sleeping Demons. [10] See The Re-Evaluation of German Foreign Policy.

 

Top of the Document

CV-RCR:160511:(13-MAY-16):Putin says Crimea now free of reliance on Kiev for its power

Reuters 11-May-16

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin oversaw the launch of a fourth and final line supplying electricity from Russia to Crimea on Wednesday, saying the project had broken an energy blockage he accused Kiev of imposing on the peninsula.

Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine in March 2014. Moscow has since faced international condemnation and the logistical challenges of sustaining a region that depended on Ukraine for much of its supplies and has no land border with Russia.

In November last year, Crimea was plunged into darkness when unidentified individuals blew up the power lines through which the peninsula received the bulk of its power from the Ukrainian grid. Kiev denied responsibility for the sabotage.

“I congratulate all of you on the completion of building this energy bridge which has tied Crimea to Russia,” Putin said in a video link from his Black Sea residence in Sochi, Russia, addressing workers and engineers on the power line.

“We managed to break through the energy blockade of Crimea within a brief period of time, and we will likewise do away with any other blockade against Russia, should someone wish to test us again,” said a visibly upbeat Putin, accompanied by Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak.

The energy bridge is a series of cables along the seabed across the Kerch Strait that separates Russia from Crimea.

The new line will bring total power supplies from Russia to Crimea to 800 megawatts, which combined with the peninsula’s own capacity should be enough to satisfy its demand.

Novak said the peninsula would have enough electricity to see it through the holiday season, when tourists swell the population and provide Crimea with a major source of revenue.

The peninsula will have complete power self-sufficiency after completion of power stations that are under construction in the Crimean cities of Sevastopol and Simferopol.

Russia denies annexing Crimea which it took over after street protests in the Ukrainian capital of Kiev chased a pro-Moscow president from power.

It says residents there voted to become part of Russia, and that Moscow acted to protect their freely-expressed will.

The next phase of Moscow’s project to end Crimea’s isolation is the construction of a 19 km (12 mile) road and rail bridge across the Kerch Strait.

The $3.2 billion project will be the longest of its kind in Europe and is scheduled for completion at the end of 2019.

 

Top of the Document

RU-EGE:160511:(13-MAY-16):Gazprom boosts gas export to Germany by 19% in January – April 2016

Tass.ru 11-May-16

 

Russia’s gas giant’ CEO and Germany’s Vice-Chancellor stressed importance of implementing the Nord Stream 2 project in conditions of growing demand for Russia’s energy resources in Europe

Gazprom increased natural gas deliveries to Germany by 19% in four months of 2016, the Russian gas holding said on Wednesday.

Export of Russian gas was discussed at the working meeting between Chief Executive Officer of Gazprom Alexei Miller and Germany’s Vice-Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel, Gazprom reported. “It was noted the last year broke the record of supplies from Russia, which grew by 6.6 bln cubic meters (+17.1%). The upward trend continues to become stronger this year – 2 bln more cubic meters as compared to the last year (+19%) were already exported in the first four months of 2016,” Gazprom said.

Participants in the meeting stressed importance of implementing the Nord Stream 2 project in conditions of growing demand for Russia’s energy resources in Europe. “Creation of a new gas transportation main line will not merely improve reliability of supplies but will also contribute to development of the European gas market,” Gazprom reported.

Gazprom supplied 45.3 bln cubic meters of natural gas to Germany in 2015.

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Jerusalem 1967 - 60

10 May: Jerusalem: ‘THE’ City of Peace’ ( Footage from 1967)

A short film released in early in 1967. It features a visit to Jerusalem of King Hussein of Jordan. This indicates that the film was taken BEFORE June 1967 when Jerusalem came into Jewish hands.

The film presents Jerusalem as an enigmatic city, venerated by three “faiths”, propounding peace, but riven by war. Some 3,000 years ago King Solomon built a great temple. After the Babylonian invasion, the Temple was rebuilt and expanded by King Herod, and was the scene of many confrontations between Jesus Christ and the Jewish rulers. The religious divisiveness, obvious in 1967, is still apparent. From the time  Jordan took control in 1948 (when the new nation of Israel was announced), they did not permit any Jew to visit the city. Jordan bulldozed the Jewish quarter with all its ancient buildings. When Israel took the city in the Six Day War, many visited the Western Wall for the first time. The Jerusalem Quarter had to be rebuilt. Today, all people are welcome to visit the city and see the Temple site.

Notice the Church of All Nations on the lower slopes of the Mt of Olives, east of the city. See how few buildings there are in 1967! This is an indication of how sparsely populated the land was.

The last comment, “turning swords into ploughshares” will ONLY be fulfilled when Jesus Christ takes the throne and the power. the year that the prophecy of Jesus Christ was fulfilled: “Jerusalem shall be trodden down of the Gentiles UNTIL the times of the Gentiles be fulfilled” (Luke 21:24).

 

 

Various shots of the Model City of Jerusalem the Golden, reconstructed town of King Solomon with children looking at it. Man points at various buildings and children look on. Various street scenes in Jerusalem showing Jewish part of town, street market, busy narrow streets with people walking around. LS. Jerusalem. Several shots of the people inside a Synagogue. Several shots of a Christian monk inside a church, camera pans up to show a dome and around the church including Christian symbols. Various shots of the streets divided by barbed wire with children seen walking around on both sides. Shots of the museum where Dead Sea Scrolls are kept. Panning shot along city wall, more shots of the town. LS. A mosque. Arab dignitaries and Moslem priests leaving the mosque. Crowd of Arabs gathered outside mosque, cheering and applauding as the leaders walk past. Several close up shots of the Wailing Wall. Various shots of the street market (bazaar) in the Arabic part of the town showing crowded streets, etc. Shots of the Way of the Cross. CU. Street sign ‘Via Dolorosa’. LS. Narrow street with arches and numerous steps, more shots of the Way of the Cross showing roads, trees, etc. Several shots of the Garden of Gethsemane where Jesus was betrayed by Judas showing old olive trees and stone buildings. King Hussein of Jordan walks with Moslem priests and Arabic officers in uniform, he talks to priest. Several shots of the Israel frontier with barbed wire, signs in English and Hebrew and Israeli flag flying. UN jeep drives through. CU. Sign ‘Police Station’. Two women walking towards the crossing point. LS. Border crossing. Several shots of the children playing football on rocky field.

This item was made as Pathe Colour Pictorial CP 651 but was replaced by another travelogue ‘Istanbul’. The item was filmed in May 1967 (old paperwork states that it was completed on 30th of May 1967) only days before start of the Israel’s six-day war against Arabs – the war started on 5th of June. Item’s commentary talks about conflict and quite favourably of King Hussein of Jordan.

Trivia:

Though the definite origins of the word “Palestine” have been debated for years and are still not known for sure, the name is believed to be derived from the Egyptian and A derivitave of the name “Palestine” first appears in Greek literature in the 5th Century BCE when the historian Herodotus called the area “Palaistinē” (Greek – Παλαιστίνη). In the 2nd century CE, the Palaestina in an attempt to minimize Jewish identification with the land of Israel.

Under the

After ; this area included not only present-day Israel but also present-day Leading up to Israel’s and The word Palestine or Filastin does not appear in the

Deuteronomy 28:37: And thou shalt become an astonishment, a proverb, and a byword, among all nations whither the LORD shall lead thee.

In AD 135, the Emperor Hadrian blotted out the name “Provincia Judea” and renamed it “Provincia Syria Palaestina”. This was the Latin version of the Greek name and soon became a name to be used as an administrative unit. This name was shortened to Palaestina and the name “Palestine” was derived from it as a modern and anglicized version. No changes occurred to this name until after the fourth century had passed when Palestine was divided in to three regions, following the imperial reorganization. The name Palestine was used by the Christian Crusades to regard all three of the divided regions in general and continued to be used for the regions on both sides of the Jordan River in general. Palestine went under the rule of the Ottoman Turks for 400 years where its administration was attached to Damascus. After the fall of the Ottoman Empire in Facebook Page ‘Alethia’ BibleTruthandProphecy
Or our website
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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
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Key Biblical subjects such as the Trinity, Devil/Satan worship, Holy Spirit Gifts & much more are all dealt with extensively from the Bible’s viewpoint and not man’s.We will demonstrate how Christian beliefs have become corrupted, and reveal the ‘Truth’ as taught by the 1st Century Apostles.

un partition

09 May: Israel: ‘THE’ Land Of ‘Promise’ ( Footage from 1947)

This video from 1947, just one year before the state of Israel was declared, show a rare glimpse into life before war. The video shows Jew and Arab trading peacefully , much as they do today in Jerusalem – the Holy city.

The return is truly a miracle. Jews themselves had lost all hope. Enduring deprivation, segregation and cruel persecution, they bowed their heads and never complained. It took several turns to pick up the beginning of hopefulness. This began with Napoleon giving the Jews in France equal civil rights and building them a synagogue. When Theodore Herzl (in France to cover the story of Captain Dreyfus’ trial) witnessed the anti-semitic howling of the mob, he knew that if post-Revolution France could react in this way, then no Jew would be safe anywhere. Hence he agitated for a homeland. Britain became involved because of the effect of the Protestant Reformation – the clear Bible teaching that Israel would be repatriated. The work of God was often unseen, and so a Christadelphian nanny got a job in the Balfour household.

This short film predates the nationhood of Israel, and is produced by the British as a news item. Other historic films in this series give an excellent picture of the foundation and development of a nation, for nearly 2,000 years in exile (Ezekiel 37). All this is a necessary preparation to Jerusalem becoming “the city of the great King” (Matt 5:35; Zechariah 14:9).

 

Trivia:

Though the definite origins of the word “Palestine” have been debated for years and are still not known for sure, the name is believed to be derived from the Egyptian and A derivitave of the name “Palestine” first appears in Greek literature in the 5th Century BCE when the historian Herodotus called the area “Palaistinē” (Greek – Παλαιστίνη). In the 2nd century CE, the Palaestina in an attempt to minimize Jewish identification with the land of Israel.

Under the

After ; this area included not only present-day Israel but also present-day Leading up to Israel’s and The word Palestine or Filastin does not appear in the

Deuteronomy 28:37: And thou shalt become an astonishment, a proverb, and a byword, among all nations whither the LORD shall lead thee.

In AD 135, the Emperor Hadrian blotted out the name “Provincia Judea” and renamed it “Provincia Syria Palaestina”. This was the Latin version of the Greek name and soon became a name to be used as an administrative unit. This name was shortened to Palaestina and the name “Palestine” was derived from it as a modern and anglicized version. No changes occurred to this name until after the fourth century had passed when Palestine was divided in to three regions, following the imperial reorganization. The name Palestine was used by the Christian Crusades to regard all three of the divided regions in general and continued to be used for the regions on both sides of the Jordan River in general. Palestine went under the rule of the Ottoman Turks for 400 years where its administration was attached to Damascus. After the fall of the Ottoman Empire in Facebook Page ‘Alethia’ BibleTruthandProphecy
Or our website
BibleTruthandProphecy (Subscribe for updates)

If you would like to subscribe to our YouTube channel, once you have clicked ‘Subscribe’ make sure you click the cog next to the subscribe button and select ‘Send me all notifications for this channel’

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Download here…

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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
We are always keen to receive your feedback, you may leave comments in the comments area below or alternatively email us at [email protected] and we will get back to you with a reply as soon as we can.

For more information on the Christadelphians
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Thisisyourbible

Read a variety of booklets on-line concerning various key Bible subjects.
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Bible Truth & Prophecy is a remarkable on-line tool for establishing just how far removed from the teachings of the Bible mainstream Christian teaching has become.

End Time Prophecies are interpreted using the Bible, not man made ideas or notions.
Key Biblical subjects such as the Trinity, Devil/Satan worship, Holy Spirit Gifts & much more are all dealt with extensively from the Bible’s viewpoint and not man’s.We will demonstrate how Christian beliefs have become corrupted, and reveal the ‘Truth’ as taught by the 1st Century Apostles.

building bridges

06 May: Building Bridges Between Egypt and Saudi Arabia

During Saudi King Salman’s first official visit to Cairo recently, he and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi announced their intent to revive the often-discussed plans to build a bridge that would create a direct link between their countries. While the bridge plans are somewhat nebulous, the two leaders also signed off on a more concrete accord, an agreement that redraws the maritime boundary between the two nations to return control over two strategic islands situated at the entrance to the Gulf of Aqaba, Tiran and Sanafir, to Saudi Arabia. If the bridge is ever built, it could prove a mixed blessing for both states; the island transfer, on the other hand, has created political outrage in Egypt.

Analysis

The bridge proposal on April 8 garnered a lot of media attention, but this is not the first time a grand plan to connect Saudi Arabia and Egypt has been floated. During a 1988 summit, Saudi King Fahd and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak announced plans to build such a span, and in 2012, Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi revived the idea, but neither proposal progressed to actual construction.

The past plans called variously for a bridge extending 25-50 kilometers (about 15-30 miles) in length and 100 meters (about 325 feet) high with an anchor point on Tiran Island, or promised a railway, or bypassed Tiran altogether. The new iterations are lacking a bridge design and timeline, but those plans for a jointly built span carried an estimated cost of $3 billion to $4 billion and a construction time of seven years.

Meanwhile, the transfer of Tiran and Sanafir islands, which straddle the strategic Straits of Tiran at the mouth of the Gulf of Aqaba, is the culmination of 11 diplomatic meetings spanning six years. The transfer was set in motion purportedly through a Saudi request for full control of the islands in 1988.

Before modern Saudi Arabia was established in 1932 and before Egypt was free from the Ottoman Empire in 1922, the islands and the waterways around them were subject to Ottoman control. Following Israel’s founding in 1948, an agreement between Egypt and Saudi Arabia permitted Egypt to station a small contingent of troops on the islands to protect them from potential Israeli aggression. After the Six-Day War in 1967, Israel occupied Tiran Island and took control of the Straits of Tiran. This lasted until the signing of the Camp David Accords in 1978. A small multinational peacekeeping force, mostly U.S. troops with some Egyptian forces, has been stationed on the islands since 1982.

bridges

A Strategic Chokepoint

Despite the strategic significance of the islands, the building of a bridge would have little effect on the military balance of power among Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Israel. Though Israeli media in past years had raised the concern that such a bridge could violate the Camp David Accords, Israeli officials have issued no objections to the recent bridge plan nor to the transfer of the islands. According to Egyptian newspaper Al Ahram, Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman promised that his country would continue to respect the presence of the multinational force on the island and ensure the safe passage of ships from the Red Sea into the Gulf of Aqaba, on which Jordan’s only port, Aqaba, and Israel’s only port with direct Red Sea access, Eilat, are situated. Israel’s government reportedly was warned of the transfer well before an agreement was struck.

If the current bridge were to follow previous plans, it would not violate provisions of the Camp David Accords guaranteeing the right of navigation of the straits. When Mubarak abandoned plans to build the bridge in 2005, citing the damage to coral reefs that its construction would cause, the bridge was set to be 100 meters high. That would leave ample room for military and cargo ships of all types to pass. (By comparison, San Francisco’s Golden Gate Bridge has a clearance of 67 meters.)

Other strategic military concerns would arise only in the event of a conflict in either nation that required the deployment of the other’s troops. A bridge between Egypt and Saudi Arabia could cut the transit time and cost to move personnel and materiel between the countries. Egypt has time and again sworn to protect Saudi Arabia in the event of a territorial breach, and though no such conflict is on the horizon, Saudi Arabia has been carefully marshaling as much support as it can to ensure it has friends near and far with military power to spare. As for any military utility of Tiran and Sanafir, Saudi Arabia already has artillery set up on its mainland that can cover the straits.

Economic Benefits of Bridge-Building

The ostensible purpose for building the bridge is economic, easing trade and fueling job growth. The head of the Saudi-Egyptian business council said April 12 in Cairo that Saudi Arabia wishes to create 320,000 jobs over the next five years, with a focus on the northern Sinai region, where instability and extremist activity fueled by poverty are of concern to both nations. In an address to Egypt’s parliament touting the job-creation benefits of a bridge, King Salman called for the establishment of a free-trade zone in the region.

Facilitating the delivery of Egyptian goods to Saudi Arabia has always been part of the plan for the bridge, but it is unclear how much the project would help increase their flow. Just getting goods to the span would be a relatively long trip on bad roads through mountainous desert terrain. Sinai militants could also target some travelers for raids, diminishing the benefits of a trade route.

A potential boon, however, would be an increased number of hajj tourists traveling overland from Egypt to Saudi Arabia. Most hajj tourists from Egypt currently fly to Saudi Arabia, but some would opt for the overland route even though the savings for them might be minimal.

Al-Sisi Paying a Price

That Egypt’s government was willing to incur the political cost of ceding control of the islands to its neighbor shows just how far Saudi Arabia has drawn Egypt into its bloc of Sunni nations. In Egypt, critics have seized upon what they see as al-Sisi’s capitulation to Egypt’s wealthier patron and his surrender of sovereign Egyptian territory. Some claim that giving up the islands is a breach of Egypt’s Constitution, which prohibits the sale of public land, and a protest in Cairo over the agreement led to five arrests. A challenge to the accord will be heard May 17 in a Cairo administrative court. The protests, court case and media criticism are coming at a time when al-Sisi is facing a broad loss of popularity in Egypt. According to Stratfor sources, Egypt’s Supreme Council of the Armed Forces advised al-Sisi to hold off on the transfer of the islands, which it said could harm national pride and upset the public. The timing of the agreement, in conjunction with the announcement of sizable Saudi investments in Egypt, has driven the perception of the transfer being more like a sale.

Defenders of the deal have pointed out that there was never a sale of the islands and that the islands had been considered Saudi territory before 1950. Egypt’s current economic struggles make it dependent on the largesse of its patrons for survival and give it fewer options than it had when it was wealthier and more self-sufficient.

The current bridge plan could join the ranks of its predecessors — proposed with the best of intentions but remaining unbuilt. Saudi Arabia’s finances, after all, are not what they used to be, and the economic benefits to be reaped from such a bridge seem far-fetched at best. But the political cost to the Egyptian government for its decision on the islands will continue to haunt it in the months to come, as Egyptians see their own government as having betrayed the country’s sovereignty.

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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
We are always keen to receive your feedback, you may leave comments in the comments area below or alternatively email us at [email protected] and we will get back to you with a reply as soon as we can.

For more information on the Christadelphians
b­logspot
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Thisisyourbible

Read a variety of booklets on-line concerning various key Bible subjects.
Free Bible Booklets

Bible Truth & Prophecy is a remarkable on-line tool for establishing just how far removed from the teachings of the Bible mainstream Christian teaching has become.

End Time Prophecies are interpreted using the Bible, not man made ideas or notions.
Key Biblical subjects such as the Trinity, Devil/Satan worship, Holy Spirit Gifts & much more are all dealt with extensively from the Bible’s viewpoint and not man’s.We will demonstrate how Christian beliefs have become corrupted, and reveal the ‘Truth’ as taught by the 1st Century Apostles.

taking over

06 May: Germany Is Taking Over the Dutch Army

Germany Is Taking Over the Dutch Army

Dutch tanks are now under German command—preparing the way for a German-led multinational tank division and a European army.

Huge portions of the Dutch military are being merged with the German Army, a process that many want to see rolled out across the whole Continent. Two of the Netherland’s three combat brigades have officially begun the process of joining the Bundeswehr.

The 11th Airmobile Brigade came under German command in 2014. Then on March 17, the 43rd Mechanized Brigade officially became part of the German 1st Armored Division. The Dutch Army now has only the 13th Mechanized Brigade, plus special forces, support and headquarters staff under its own command.

This is a revolutionary change, not just for the Netherlands, but for Europe and, in time, the world. It is paving the way for a newly capable German-led military force.

There have been so many token efforts at forming multinational forces that it is easy to gloss over what has just happened. But the Dutch aren’t just doing training maneuvers with Germany. Lt. Gen. Mart de Kruif, commander of the Royal Netherlands Army, called the collaboration “unique in the world, both in the way and the level in which we integrate.”

He’s right. Other multinational forces are on a much smaller scale. The German-Dutch Corps is probably one of the most advanced military collaborations, but it is only 400 strong, including civilian personnel. The 5,000-strong Franco-German brigade has existed since 1987. But every time it has gone to war, it has been divided into its separate, national armies—parts of the brigade were finally deployed together to Mali in 2014.

But this time, the Netherlands is committing its fast-response forces and its only tank unit to Germany.

The two nations are also extending this partnership to the sea. Germany and the Netherlands will share the Dutch Navy’s largest and most expensive ship, the Karel Doorman. The ship is designed to play a few roles, but most importantly, it can transport and land troops. It can land heavy equipment and has space for helicopters. The German sea battalion—about 800 soldiers specializing in naval protection, mine-clearance and boarding ships—will be absorbed into the Dutch Navy. And the two countries are examining having a German air defense unit join a Dutch unit.

These deals help Germany quickly expand the capability of its military, while the Dutch cut costs. Until recently, the German military was designed with one purpose—to prevent Russia from invading central Europe. That doesn’t involve storming many beaches, so Germany didn’t have any real amphibious landing capability. Now that the German Army is considering military missions across the Mediterranean, it needs this kind of capability quickly.

Meanwhile the Karel Doorman was so expensive that the Dutch haven’t been able to use it properly. So the Germans help the Dutch pay for it, and the Germans get an instant and dramatic expansion of their amphibious landing capabilities.

From the Dutch point of view, this kind of money constraint has been the reason behind all their cooperation with Germany. Their military spending has fallen from around 2.5 percent of their economic output to 1.2 percent. Back in 2011, the Dutch Army phased out all its tanks. Since then, they’ve decided they still need tanks, but they don’t want to pay for them. So the Dutch have decided that having their tank battalion commanded by Germany is better than having no tanks at all.

The German Sea Battalion is under Dutch command, so this cooperation goes both ways to a certain extent—though it is clear Germany is the senior partner. Even so, the German troops commanded by the Netherlands will be unable to deploy without the approval of the German parliament. Germany’s constitutional court has ruled that the German military can only be deployed with the permission of the Bundestag. This applies to German units stationed in other forces.

“In all previous collaborations was agreed that troops operations continue to be subject to checks by the national institutions and procedures,” wrote Sachsische Zeitung. “The Sea Battalion of the German Navy could thus be involved, for example, only after approval of the Bundestag on a foreign deployment of the Dutch Navy” (Trumpet translation throughout).

Germany sees this unprecedented cooperation as only the start. It has begun preparations for similar arrangements with Poland. The Czech Republic has asked Germany several times for a similar arrangement to what the Dutch now have—it also wants one of its armored brigades absorbed into the German Army.

German Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen said she wants to build a European army this way. In February she announced, “We will set up a multinational panzer division next year.”

“This should create a unit with up to 20,000 active soldiers, which should be operational by 2021—which would be the nucleus of a European army,” wrote Die Welt.

In February, von der Leyen called their cooperation a “prime example for the building of a European defense union.” Last month, Lt. Gen. Dieter Warnecke gave a speech where he held up the Dutch-German military partnership as a model for deeper integration among all European armies.

The German press sees this too. “Laboratory for an EU Army” was Die Welt’s title for an article on this subject. It had another article titled “How von der Leyen Is Driving the European Army.”

It wrote, “Von der Leyen and [Dutch Defense Minister Jeanine] Hennis-Plasschaert were playing the role of pioneers on their way to an EU army in Amsterdam.”

Right from the start, Germany made no secret of the fact that a European army is the ultimate goal of this bilateral cooperation. The Trumpet described this thinking back in 2013. Even back then, the plan had been clearly articulated by Germany’s defense establishment. Efforts to create a European army had consistently failed. So Germany was taking a new approach. It would form deep military relationships with just a few countries. Gradually more nations would be added to this cooperation, until the nucleus of a European army was formed.

“If Germany can prove that integration can work with the Netherlands and Poland—and they can save a lot of money doing so—other nations will want in. Once Berlin brings a few more countries on line, this project will gain critical mass,” we wrote. “The result would be an EU army, or a very closely coordinated group of armies, centered on Germany.”

With Germany planning a multinational panzer division, this process is well under way.

It says a lot about Germany’s position in Europe that it—not France, Italy or any of the Continent’s other powers—is at the center of this push for a European army. More importantly, it says a lot about Germany’s ambitions.

Germany’s economic dominance means that just about any kind of European army will be dominated by Germany. Writing on France’s calls for Germany and France to work together on defense, George Friedman wrote:

Collaborating on defense budgets, with each nation contributing based on economic size, would mean that Germany would be both the leading economic and military power in Europe. Within the EU, Germany is first among equals. Creating a substantial military force would cement that.

The rise of a Europe capable of fielding a powerful military force, independent from the United States, would be one of the biggest geopolitical events of the 21st century so far, revolutionizing the balance of power around the world. Europe has already shown that it’s willing to use its considerable economic power against U.S. interests—siding with China against the U.S., for example, in the case of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank. How much more independently would it behave with a powerful military?

Europe’s history warns that the world should be wary of the rise of this new military power.

BY RICHARD PALMER

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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
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Thisisyourbible

Read a variety of booklets on-line concerning various key Bible subjects.
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Bible Truth & Prophecy is a remarkable on-line tool for establishing just how far removed from the teachings of the Bible mainstream Christian teaching has become.

End Time Prophecies are interpreted using the Bible, not man made ideas or notions.
Key Biblical subjects such as the Trinity, Devil/Satan worship, Holy Spirit Gifts & much more are all dealt with extensively from the Bible’s viewpoint and not man’s.We will demonstrate how Christian beliefs have become corrupted, and reveal the ‘Truth’ as taught by the 1st Century Apostles.

uganda cycle

06 May: Cycle for Uganda event -Saturday 25th June 2016

On Saturday 25th June 2016, God willing, we are holding another Cycle for Uganda event to raise money for water storage facilities in the village of Ibanda in the Ibanda District in Uganda. This is being held and organised by the Clevedon Christadelphians again this year and offers the challenge of cycling 50 miles with 3,300ft of climbing up some of the steepest hills in North Somerset!

Our event last year, 100 km (62 miles) around the Mendips, was another great day of fellowship, love and cycling. Through the generosity of many ecclesias and individuals we raised a fantastic £4,364 for the children of Namisindwa, taking our total over the last two years to over £10,500!

Again we are offering the opportunity for cyclists to take part in this challenge and raise money through personal sponsorship in aid of this project in Western Uganda, and are aiming to raise £2,000 to provide the Ibanda village with water storage. I have attached a poster for your noticeboard if you feel able to print it, and would kindly ask you to bring it to the attention of your ecclesia, or forward it to members of your ecclesia.

Registration is via the website, and is open to anyone, but please be aware places are limited for safety, so booking early is advised. For those who aren’t interested in cycling but still wish to help, donations can be made through https://mydonate.bt.com/events/cycleforuganda2016

More information about the Cycle for Uganda 2016 event can be found at Facebook Page ‘Alethia’ BibleTruthandProphecy
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Bible Truth and Prophecy, – Welcome to our channel run by the Christadelphians Worldwide to help promote the understanding of God’s Word to those who are seeking the Truth about the Human condition and Gods plan and Purpose with the Earth and Mankind upon it.
We are always keen to receive your feedback, you may leave comments in the comments area below or alternatively email us at [email protected] and we will get back to you with a reply as soon as we can.

For more information on the Christadelphians
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Thisisyourbible

Read a variety of booklets on-line concerning various key Bible subjects.
Free Bible Booklets

Bible Truth & Prophecy is a remarkable on-line tool for establishing just how far removed from the teachings of the Bible mainstream Christian teaching has become.

End Time Prophecies are interpreted using the Bible, not man made ideas or notions.
Key Biblical subjects such as the Trinity, Devil/Satan worship, Holy Spirit Gifts & much more are all dealt with extensively from the Bible’s viewpoint and not man’s.We will demonstrate how Christian beliefs have become corrupted, and reveal the ‘Truth’ as taught by the 1st Century Apostles.

hollande

06 May: France Wants Military Cooperation With Europe, but Not America

France Wants Military Cooperation With Europe, but Not America

In the wake of the Brussels attack, France is launching a renewed push for a combined European military force, and President François Hollande is making it very clear that he does not want to rely on the United States. George Friedman described the latest efforts in his article for Geopolitical Futures on April 8, titled “France Confronts Germany on Defense”:

One day before a joint meeting of French and German officials on April 7, French President François Hollande said in an interview with the German newspaper Bild, “Our two countries must agree to a budgetary effort on defense. And to act outside Europe. Let’s not rely on another power, even a friendly one, to do away with terrorism.” This is a statement that requires serious consideration. … The attacks in Paris and Brussels have posed a fundamental question for France. It cannot simply accept this threat, but must do something about it. … For the French, building a European military force around France and Germany is the necessary precondition for any solution to Europe’s growing challenges. …

Hollande specifically said that France and Germany could not depend on a third power, no matter how friendly, to fight their battles. He clearly was referring to the United States. Collaborating on defense budgets, with each nation contributing based on economic size, would mean that Germany would be both the leading economic and military power in Europe. Within the EU, Germany is first among equals. Creating a substantial military force would cement that. And that raises for Germans the specter of a return to what must never be again.

In another article, this time published at Mauldin Economics on April 11, “Europe and NATO,” Friedman described how Europe is being scared into action by America’s retreat: This year, a major topic at Globsec will be nato. The choice of topic has to do partly with Donald Trump’s statements that Europe isn’t paying its “fair share” and, further, that it would be fine if nato broke up. Such remarks by U.S. presidential candidates are regarded with great care and concern in Eastern Europe. On a broader scale, Russia and the Middle East both present national security issues for all of Europe. Europe has no integrated military capability except for nato, and nato is now, to my mind, a shambles. It is a military alliance, but Europe has allowed its military capability, limited to begin with in the wake of World War ii, to weaken dramatically.

As Europeans come to realize that Russia has not gone away and the United States has not actually overreacted to Islamist terrorism, Trump’s words on nato are raising alarm. … Many Europeans see nato as the guarantor of their national security. In other words, they depend on the United States … the only nato member with a global military capability. …

The Europeans celebrated a concept called soft power, which involves the use of sanctions, the mobilization of public opinion, and other strategies that avoid military action. They wanted an option that cost less than becoming a global power costs. Frankly, from my point of view, their embracing soft power was simply a way to evade reality. As the Russians loomed larger and the Middle East spilled over into Europe, the Europeans discovered that soft power was … soft. And that they needed hard power, which the United States had (and to a far lesser extent Britain and France), but no one else did. Suddenly the world seemed out of control to the Europeans, since they lacked the hard power to shape events. …

The total population of the European Union is just over 508 million people. The population of the United States is about 320 million people. The gdp of the European Union is $18.45 trillion. The gdp of the United States is about $18.3 trillion. In other words, Europe and the United States are equal in wealth, while Europe has almost 200 million people more than the U.S. does.

There is therefore no reason why the Europeans should not have a military capability equal to or even greater than that commanded by the United States. Though Europe was understandably the junior partner in the 1950s, neither demographics nor economics show the Continent to be a junior partner now. …

The structural problem is that the European Union lacks a defense dimension. European unification is a complex quilt of relationships, and defense rests in the hands of individual sovereign states. The largest state, Germany, which should be devoting the most to a European defense force, devotes little even to its own force. …

Now, the Russians are reasserting their place in history, and the Islamic State is targeting European capitals. It is not clear how the threats they pose are to be countered, but the challenge will demand military force in some capacity. Friedman, however, believes that nothing will come of this, that the Europeans will be unable to make the tough choices necessary, and that French and German positions are too far apart to form a united force. There is a lot of truth here. Becoming a military power again is a big change for Europe and for Germany, and not one they will make lightly. But with terrorists planning more and bigger attacks, these are changes Europe will be forced to make in time.

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